安孚科技（603031）：以南孚电池筑基，撬动硬科技第二曲线

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The company, Anfu Technology, has transformed from a retail business to a leader in the domestic small battery industry by acquiring a controlling stake in Nanfu Battery and divesting its original retail operations [3][15] - Nanfu Battery is recognized for its high profit margins, strong return on equity (ROE), and robust cash flow, maintaining a market share of over 80% in the domestic alkaline battery market [6][47] - The company is actively investing in high-tech sectors, including AI and semiconductor manufacturing, to build a second growth curve alongside its core battery business [3][5] Summary by Sections 1. Anfu Technology: Domestic Small Battery Industry Leader - Anfu Technology was established in 1984 and listed on the A-share market in 2016, initially focusing on retail [15] - In 2022, the company acquired 51% of Yajing Technology, gaining control of Nanfu Battery and successfully transitioning to the consumer battery sector [15][12] 2. Controlling Nanfu Battery: A Stable "Cash Cow" Business - Nanfu Battery has been the market leader in alkaline manganese batteries for 32 consecutive years, with a retail market share of 85.9% in alkaline 5 and 7 batteries for 2024 [6][47] - Revenue for Nanfu Battery grew from 2.18 billion to 4.64 billion (CAGR +10%) from 2016 to 2024, with net profit increasing from 500 million to 920 million (CAGR +8%) [6][53] - The company plans to acquire the remaining shares of Yajing Technology and minority stakes in Nanfu Battery to enhance profitability [6] 3. Strategic Investment in Yilaimi: Potential for "Electric + Optical" Dual Layout - Yilaimi is positioned to develop next-generation optical chips, with a production capacity supporting 200,000 to 500,000 chips annually [6] - The strategic investment in Yilaimi is part of the company's broader strategy to integrate into the semiconductor industry and explore new growth avenues [6] 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.82 billion, 5.31 billion, and 5.83 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of +4.0%, +10.1%, and +9.8% respectively [6] - The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period is 235 million, 421 million, and 594 million, reflecting significant growth [6] - The stock's reasonable value range is estimated between 57.6 and 69.1 yuan, corresponding to a market capitalization of 14.85 billion to 17.81 billion [6]