英伟达(NVDA):FY26Q4 业绩点评:指引超预期,Token经济学的最佳增长引擎

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to Nvidia (NVDA.O) [7] Core Insights - Nvidia's long-term revenue guidance has been raised, and its gross margin remains robust. The company is expected to lead AI infrastructure with optimal token costs as the agent application inflection point has been reached [3][4] - The financial summary indicates significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of $380.1 billion in FY2027, $523.8 billion in FY2028, and $637.4 billion in FY2029, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 76.0%, 37.8%, and 21.7% respectively [5][11] - Nvidia's data center revenue exceeded expectations, with a 75% year-on-year increase in Q4 FY26, driven by diverse customer growth and significant contributions from cloud service providers (CSPs) [11] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY2027E, FY2028E, and FY2029E are adjusted to $380.1 billion, $523.8 billion, and $637.4 billion respectively, with corresponding Non-GAAP net profits of $223.6 billion, $306.4 billion, and $371.0 billion [11][12] - The Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 FY26 reached 75.2%, with guidance for Q1 FY27 around 75% (±50 basis points), indicating strong performance [11][12] - The report highlights a significant improvement in token economics, with the cost per million tokens reduced to one-thirty-fifth compared to previous architectures, enhancing revenue potential [11] Market Data - The current stock price is $184.89, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.49 trillion [7][8] - The stock has traded within a 52-week range of $94.31 to $207.04 [8]

Nvidia-英伟达(NVDA):FY26Q4 业绩点评:指引超预期,Token经济学的最佳增长引擎 - Reportify