TONGWEI CO.,LTD(SH:600438) Zhongyuan Securities·2026-02-27 09:05Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy sector [1]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry index rose by 4.41% as of February 26, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which had a return of 0.44% during the same period [8]. - The photovoltaic sector is currently undergoing a deep adjustment phase, with expectations for new installations in 2026 to be between 180-240 GW, following a short-term market correction [5][16]. - The industry is transitioning from scale expansion to value competition, with a focus on governance to mitigate internal competition [5][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Review - The photovoltaic industry index experienced a surge and subsequent consolidation in February, outperforming the CSI 300 index [8]. - Sub-sectors within the photovoltaic industry showed mixed performance, with photovoltaic modules and conductive silver paste leading the gains [10]. - Individual stock performance varied significantly, with notable gains from companies like GCL-Poly Energy and JinkoSolar, while others like Sungrow Power and LONGi Green Energy faced declines [13][15]. Industry and Company Dynamics - The government is enhancing the electricity pricing mechanism to support the photovoltaic sector, aiming for a unified national electricity market by 2030 [14]. - In 2025, the total new photovoltaic installations are projected to reach 317 GW, a 13.67% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from both centralized and distributed installations [17][19]. - The industry is currently in a demand off-season, with a notable reduction in the production of polysilicon and silicon wafers due to decreased downstream demand [26][34]. Key Data Points - In January 2026, the photovoltaic inverter bidding capacity was recorded at 1,056.29 MW, marking a low point typical of the seasonal downturn [26]. - The production of polysilicon is expected to decrease by 15% in January, with further reductions anticipated in February [28]. - The average price of polysilicon has slightly decreased to 52 RMB/kg, reflecting a weak balance in supply and demand [40]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in perovskite solar cells, energy storage inverters, and leading integrated component manufacturers, as the photovoltaic industry remains undervalued historically [5].