节后资金逐步回流，海外扰动或有冲击但预计不改板块结构性活跃预期

Group 1 - The report indicates that after the Spring Festival, the new stock market has shown signs of increased activity, with an average increase of approximately 3.7% for new stocks listed since 2025, and about 75.8% of these stocks achieving positive returns [1][13][5] - The current new stock cycle is expected to continue its upward trend, although the pricing indicators for new stocks have shifted higher, leading to a relatively weaker valuation drive for this cycle [2][13][1] - The report emphasizes the importance of external policies and events in catalyzing the activity of new stocks, suggesting that high-frequency rotation and differentiation will be the norm in this cycle [2][13][1] Group 2 - The report notes that last week, there were three new stocks available for online subscription, with an average issuance price-earnings ratio of 19.3X and a subscription success rate of 0.0206% [4][25] - The performance of newly listed stocks showed a significant drop in first-day trading enthusiasm, with an average first-day increase of about 70% for new stocks on the North Exchange, compared to 175% in the previous week [4][30] - The report highlights that the average increase for new stocks listed since 2025 on the North Exchange was 1.2%, with 67.6% of these stocks also showing an increase [5][33] Group 3 - The report identifies key sectors for investment, including technology themes such as AI, commercial aerospace, and energy export, which are expected to have significant long-term growth potential [3][13][1] - It also suggests that investors should consider sectors with temporary popularity but relatively stable performance, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, new consumption, and robotics, for potential rotation opportunities [3][13][1] - The report lists specific upcoming new stocks, including Tongling Technology and Haifiman, which are expected to be listed soon [4][3]