九号公司(689009):首次覆盖报告:智能筑基,多元绽放

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Jiuhua Company (689009.SH), indicating a positive outlook on its investment potential [4]. Core Insights - The market has concerns regarding the new national standards affecting the electric two-wheeler industry and the EU's anti-dumping investigation on Chinese lawnmowers. However, the company is actively responding to external fluctuations, and growth momentum remains strong across its business lines. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring future data to capitalize on the undervaluation of quality companies [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Electric Two-Wheelers - The two-wheeler business is adapting to new national standards, with the company focusing on expanding products, stores, channels, and brand presence. Despite challenges in high-tier cities, growth potential remains robust, with expectations for a positive trend in Q1 2026 due to increased demand from electric motorcycles and high dealer purchasing intentions [1][2]. - Revenue projections for the two-wheeler segment are optimistic, with expected growth rates of 68.0%, 26.1%, and 25.0% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]. Lawn Mowers - The impact of the anti-dumping investigation on the lawn mower segment is expected to be limited in the short term, as the company is actively expanding overseas production capacity and has been proactive in shipping before tariffs take effect. The introduction of new products at CES in January is anticipated to drive penetration rates higher [2][11]. - The lawn mower market is projected to grow significantly, with expectations of a 254.8% year-on-year increase in revenue for the robot business in 2024, maintaining high growth rates in subsequent years [11]. Other Businesses - The company is also seeing positive trends in its scooter and all-terrain vehicle segments, with expected revenue growth rates of 19.1%, 12.8%, and 15.1% for scooters, and 10%, 20%, and 10% for all-terrain vehicles over the next three years [11]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on product innovation and channel expansion, which is expected to sustain growth across its various business lines [12]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.79 billion, 2.42 billion, and 3.20 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.0, 13.8, and 10.7 [2][14].

Ninebot-九号公司(689009):首次覆盖报告:智能筑基,多元绽放 - Reportify