Focus Tech.(SZ:002315) Orient Securities·2026-03-04 15:26Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company for the first time, with a target price of 58.41 CNY [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic cross-border B2B platform, with steady growth in revenue and net profit. The core business, China Manufacturing Network, accounts for over 80% of revenue [8][12]. - From 2020 to 2024, revenue is projected to grow from 1.159 billion CNY to 1.669 billion CNY, with a CAGR of 9.55%. Net profit is expected to increase from 173 million CNY to 451 million CNY, with a CAGR of 27.07% [8][27]. - The company has a strong profitability profile, with gross margin increasing from 75.3% in 2020 to 80.5% in 2024, and net margin rising from 14.9% to 27% in the same period [8][28]. - The company launched an equity incentive plan in July 2025, covering 1,145 people (about 46% of the workforce), which is expected to enhance team cohesion and core competitiveness [8][15]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company’s financial projections for 2023 to 2027 show a steady increase in revenue and net profit, with revenue expected to reach 2.477 billion CNY by 2027, and net profit projected at 717 million CNY [4][27]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.19 CNY in 2023, increasing to 2.26 CNY by 2027 [4][27]. - The company maintains a high gross margin of around 80.6% and a net margin that is expected to reach 28.9% by 2027 [4][28]. Industry Overview - The cross-border e-commerce sector remains robust, with China's total import and export value expected to reach a historical high in 2025, reflecting resilience and vitality [34][37]. - Cross-border e-commerce is a significant component of foreign trade, with the export penetration rate expected to continue rising, indicating substantial growth potential [36][38]. - The B2B market within cross-border e-commerce is experiencing structural expansion, with a shift towards technology-intensive categories, and AI is anticipated to play a crucial role in this growth [8][43].