CGT GROUP(SZ:000066) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-03-13 00:25Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company is a pioneer in China's independent computing industry, focusing on CPU and integrated systems, and is expected to benefit from the deepening of the Xinchuang industry and the explosive demand for AI [2][10]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with China Electronics being the largest shareholder, holding 39.35% of the shares [10][25]. - The company has made significant contributions to the development of China's independent computing industry, having created several industry firsts [10][24]. Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to be 151.80 billion, 170.15 billion, and 188.14 billion yuan, respectively, with a corresponding net profit of -0.56 billion, 1.28 billion, and 2.59 billion yuan [4][18]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period is projected to be -0.02, 0.04, and 0.08 yuan [18]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow at rates of 10.00%, 15.00%, and 12.00% for its computing industry business from 2025 to 2027 [14][16]. Revenue Breakdown - The computing industry business is projected to generate revenues of 117.72 billion, 135.37 billion, and 151.62 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with gross margins of 15.00%, 17.00%, and 17.00% [14][16]. - The system equipment business is expected to see revenues of 25.49 billion, 25.76 billion, and 27.05 billion yuan, with gross margins of 14.00%, 15.00%, and 16.00% [15][16]. - Other business revenues are projected to be 8.59 billion, 9.02 billion, and 9.47 billion yuan, with gross margins of 31.50%, 34.00%, and 36.00% [15][16]. Valuation Analysis - The report uses both PS and PB valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 740.51 billion yuan and a target price of 22.96 yuan for the company [19][22][23]. - The PS valuation method suggests a valuation based on an average of 11.59 times PS for comparable companies, while the PB valuation method suggests a valuation of 6 times PB [20][22]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a key player in the Xinchuang and AI computing sectors, focusing on developing core products and technologies for information security and infrastructure [10][24]. - The company has invested in Feiteng, a leading domestic CPU developer, to enhance its capabilities in high-end chip design and production [10][32][35]. - The company aims to leverage opportunities in the Xinchuang market and solidify its integrated system business [10][14].