Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a current price of HKD 77.70 and a fair value of HKD 108.28 [3]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in H2 2025, with revenue of RMB 2.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 300 million, up 85% year-on-year [7]. - For the full year of 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 4.47 billion, representing a 36% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of RMB 500 million, up 52% year-on-year [7]. - The company is expected to benefit from the takeout delivery boom, with management's e-commerce background enhancing user acquisition and retention capabilities [7]. - The company has been expanding its store network rapidly, adding 2,271 franchise stores in 2025, reaching a total of 11,423 stores [7]. - The main brand is expected to maintain resilience in same-store sales growth, supported by product innovation and expansion into new categories [7]. - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2026-2028 is RMB 6.7 billion, RMB 7.8 billion, and RMB 9.0 billion, respectively [7]. Financial Projections - The company’s main revenue is projected to grow from RMB 3.29 billion in 2024 to RMB 6.95 billion in 2028, with growth rates of -1.9%, 36.0%, 17.8%, 16.1%, and 13.8% respectively [2]. - Non-GAAP net profit is expected to increase from RMB 418 million in 2024 to RMB 897 million in 2028, with growth rates of 36.4%, 17.2%, 17.2%, and 14.6% [2]. - The Non-GAAP EPS is projected to rise from RMB 4.08 in 2024 to RMB 8.53 in 2028 [2]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of around 27.2% by 2028 [2].
沪上阿姨（02589）：25H2业绩如期高增，拓店提速，同店表现较好