Muyuan Foods (SZ:002714) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2026-03-29 05:38Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 144.145 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.49%. However, the total profit decreased by 16.33% to 15.81 billion RMB, and the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 13.39% to 15.487 billion RMB [2][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.27 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 2.435 billion RMB (including tax) [2][3]. - The company aims to maintain a stable supply of pigs, with a sales target of 75 million to 81 million heads for 2026, while optimizing breeding costs [3]. - The slaughtering business saw significant growth, with 28.66 million pigs slaughtered in 2025, a 129% increase year-on-year, achieving a capacity utilization rate of 98.8% and a gross margin increase to 2.67% [3]. - The company is exploring overseas markets, starting with Vietnam, which is expected to become a new growth point [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 144.145 billion RMB, a 4.49% increase year-on-year. The total profit was 15.81 billion RMB, down 16.33%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 15.487 billion RMB, down 13.39% [2][4]. Operational Analysis - The company plans to maintain a stable output of 75 million to 81 million pigs in 2026, with a breeding cost target of 11.5 RMB per kilogram [3]. - The slaughtering business experienced a 129% increase in volume, reaching 28.66 million pigs, with a gross margin of 2.67% [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 30.056 billion RMB in 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 54.15%, showing improved financial structure [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5.7 billion RMB, 34.1 billion RMB, and 27.8 billion RMB for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.00 RMB, 5.91 RMB, and 4.80 RMB [4].