拓普集团：预计海外业务规模提升及新业务拓展将保障盈利稳定增长-20260329

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.30 CNY [3][6]. Core Insights - The company's overseas business expansion and new business development are expected to ensure stable profit growth [2]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2026-2028 is projected to be 34.45 billion, 41.76 billion, and 49.65 billion CNY respectively, with a comparable company PE average valuation of 35 times for 2026 [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2024A: 26,600 million CNY, growth of 35.0% - 2025A: 29,581 million CNY, growth of 11.2% - 2026E: 37,740 million CNY, growth of 27.6% - 2027E: 44,597 million CNY, growth of 18.2% - 2028E: 51,297 million CNY, growth of 15.0% [5] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024A: 3,001 million CNY, growth of 39.5% - 2025A: 2,779 million CNY, decline of 7.4% - 2026E: 3,445 million CNY, growth of 24.0% - 2027E: 4,176 million CNY, growth of 21.2% - 2028E: 4,965 million CNY, growth of 18.9% [5] - Earnings Per Share: - 2024A: 1.73 CNY - 2025A: 1.60 CNY - 2026E: 1.98 CNY - 2027E: 2.40 CNY - 2028E: 2.86 CNY [5] - Profitability Ratios: - Gross Margin: 20.8% in 2024A, expected to reach 20.3% by 2028E - Net Margin: 11.3% in 2024A, expected to reach 9.7% by 2028E - Return on Equity: 18.0% in 2024A, expected to reach 15.7% by 2028E [5]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of March 27, 2026, was 57.79 CNY, with a 52-week high of 86.88 CNY and a low of 41.97 CNY [6].