Milkground(SH:600882) Xinda Securities·2026-03-29 13:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.633 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 118 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.29%. The adjusted net profit reached 158 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 235.94% [2][4] - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.676 billion yuan, which is a 34.13% increase year-on-year. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 57.44 million yuan, a decline of 301.01% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit for this quarter was 37.89 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 347.78% [2][4] - The growth in cheese products significantly contributed to the revenue increase in Q4 2025, with cheese revenue reaching 1.313 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 38.98%. The overall revenue from cheese for the year was 4.615 billion yuan, up 22.84% year-on-year [4] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 4.844 billion yuan in 2024 to 8.750 billion yuan in 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.4% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 114 million yuan in 2024 to 598 million yuan in 2028, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 30.6% [5] - The gross margin is projected to improve slightly from 28.3% in 2024 to 29.5% in 2028, indicating a focus on cost efficiency [5] Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the company are projected to be 0.62 yuan in 2026, 0.90 yuan in 2027, and 1.17 yuan in 2028, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 31X, 21X, and 16X respectively [4][5]