HMD(SZ:002947) Soochow Securities·2026-04-01 03:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is a core supplier of precision structural components and functional devices in the consumer electronics and communication sectors, benefiting from deep ties with leading clients. The solid foundation in consumer electronics, along with growth opportunities in communication and new energy sectors driven by AI computing power and charging network construction, is expected to drive continuous high growth in performance. Revenue is projected to reach 42.35 billion yuan, 59.56 billion yuan, and 74.01 billion yuan for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be 7.6 billion yuan, 9.9 billion yuan, and 11.8 billion yuan for the same years. The corresponding P/E ratios are forecasted to be 18x, 13x, and 11x, indicating that the company's valuation is significantly lower than the average of comparable companies [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - The company has been deeply engaged in the consumer electronics sector since its establishment in 2011, becoming a core supplier for Apple and other major brands. The strategic shift towards high-value orders has allowed the company to expand its client base significantly, including partnerships with major manufacturers like Foxconn and Google [14][15]. - The company has successfully penetrated non-mobile terminal markets, with wearable products showing substantial growth, validating its growth logic. The revenue from wearable products increased from 27.99% in 2018 to 39.27% in 2019, with a year-on-year growth of 63.88% [19][23]. 2. Consumer Electronics Business - The company's consumer electronics segment is benefiting from Apple's "AI + lightweight" strategy, which is reshaping product forms and expanding growth boundaries. The trend towards "screwless" designs in new models like the iPhone 17 Air is increasing the demand for adhesive and fixed components [45][49]. - The report anticipates that new terminal products, such as AI glasses and desktop robots, will drive significant demand for the company's precision adhesive and acoustic components, enhancing their value [54][60]. 3. New Business Layout - The company is strategically positioned in the AI computing and new energy charging sectors, with its communication cabinet business benefiting from Huawei's AI supernode deployment. The demand for precision structural components is expected to increase significantly as AI applications grow [61][64]. - The new energy business is also projected to grow, supported by policies promoting charging infrastructure, with significant demand anticipated for charging piles and related components [61][64]. 4. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 24.86 billion yuan in 2024 to 28.58 billion yuan in 2025, with a steady increase in gross margin, indicating strong operational efficiency and cash flow improvement. The operating cash flow is projected to reach 6.87 billion yuan in 2025, significantly higher than the previous year [31][36][40].