江苏神通2023年度业绩预告点评：核阀订单有序兑现，业绩发展稳中向好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Shentong (002438) [3][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable growth in performance due to steady growth in traditional business and the opening up of new business areas, particularly in the nuclear power sector [5][12] - Revenue projections for 2023-2025 are estimated at 2.1 billion, 2.5 billion, and 3.1 billion yuan respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be 266 million, 347 million, and 460 million yuan respectively [6][14] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to benefit from an increase in nuclear power valve delivery volumes, leading to stable growth in Q4 performance [12] - The expected net profit for 2023 is between 250 million and 284 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10% to 25% [12] Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.45% from 2021 to 2025 [14] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2023, 2024, and 2025 are projected to be 0.52, 0.68, and 0.91 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15.89, 12.20, and 9.20 [6][14] Business Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of nuclear valves in China, with a high bid-winning rate of over 90% in the past decade [13] - New business areas, such as hydrogen energy and semiconductor-related products, are expected to gradually contribute to performance as they move through testing and validation phases [13]