Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of $91.35 based on a 12x PS for FY25 [2][3]. Core Views - The company is a leading manufacturer of Ethernet communication chips, positioned to benefit from the upgrade trends in data centers and AI Ethernet networking [2]. - The company has a comprehensive product layout in high-speed communication chips, including optical module DSPs, switch chips, and Ethernet PHY chips, which are expected to see increased demand due to the growth of 800G optical modules and AI networking applications [2]. - The company has strong technical capabilities in automotive Ethernet, being the first to achieve 1G and 10G automotive Ethernet PHY chips, which positions it well to benefit from the trend of automotive intelligence [2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has transitioned from consumer electronics to data centers, acquiring a complete product line for high-speed connections, including optical module DSPs and Ethernet chips [11]. - The revenue from data centers, operator infrastructure, and enterprise networks has become the main growth driver, while the share of revenue from consumer electronics has decreased significantly [14]. Data Center Transformation - The company is expected to see revenue of $5.698 billion in FY24, with a slight decline of 3.74%, followed by growth of 15.49% and 8.93% in FY25 and FY26, respectively [1]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing data transmission rates in data centers, with major cloud providers upgrading to 400G and 800G speeds [19]. Automotive Ethernet Applications - The automotive Ethernet market is expected to grow significantly as the complexity of automotive electronic systems increases, with the company being a key player in this transition [51]. - The company has a strong technical foundation in automotive Ethernet, which is expected to see increased penetration due to the demand for higher bandwidth and lower latency [57]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to have a negative net profit of $513 million in FY24, improving to a loss of $129 million in FY25 and $19 million in FY26 [1]. - The P/S ratio is expected to decrease from 10.25 in FY24 to 8.15 in FY26, indicating a potential improvement in valuation as revenues grow [1]. Market Opportunities - The global market for Ethernet switch chips is expected to exceed $3.5 billion by 2028, with the company being one of the few capable of producing 51.2T Ethernet switch chips [22]. - The company is also expected to benefit from the increasing demand for AI-related custom chips, with significant revenue contributions anticipated from cloud providers [38].
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