以消费电池为基石,动储业务快速增长

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][30]. Core Views - The company has established itself as a leader in the consumer battery sector and is rapidly growing in the energy storage business. It has diversified into multiple fields, including consumer batteries, power batteries, and energy storage systems, with a significant focus on expanding its market share in the power battery segment [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has over 20 years of experience in the lithium battery industry and is recognized as a global leader in consumer battery modules. It has expanded into the energy storage sector since 2016 and began producing power batteries in 2018, achieving a multi-field layout [2][10]. 2. Business Segments 2.1 Power Business - The company is focusing on expanding its partnerships with automotive manufacturers, with expectations of achieving breakeven in the power battery segment by 2025. It has secured contracts with major clients such as Dongfeng, Geely, and Ideal, and anticipates a significant increase in shipments from 12 GWh in 2023 to 17-18 GWh in 2024, representing a 40% growth [2][15][19]. 2.2 Energy Storage Business - The energy storage segment is projected to be a new growth point, with expected revenue growth of 40% in 2024. The company anticipates revenue from energy storage systems to reach 17-18 billion yuan in 2024, driven primarily by commercial storage [2][22]. 2.3 Consumer Business - The consumer battery segment is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 10% in 2024, despite a projected decline in revenue for 2023 due to price reductions. The company aims to increase its self-supply ratio of battery cells from 30% to 50%, which is expected to enhance profitability [2][23][24]. 3. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 10 billion yuan in 2023, 12 billion yuan in 2024, and 14 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 22, and 18 times. The revenue projections for 2023-2025 are 47.35 billion yuan, 52.98 billion yuan, and 60.44 billion yuan, respectively [1][30][25].