SCC(SZ:002916) Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2024-03-18 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [1]. Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in Q4 2023, which boosted its annual results, with Q4 revenue and net profit accounting for 30% and 35% of the total annual performance, respectively [1]. - The PCB industry is believed to have reached the bottom of the cycle in the second half of 2023, with expectations for a moderate recovery in 2024, projecting a revenue growth of 12.5% for the company [1][2]. - Despite the anticipated recovery, concerns remain regarding the continuous decline in PCB product prices and weak demand in the telecommunications market, which may hinder a full recovery in the first half of 2024 [1]. - The target price has been adjusted to 79 RMB, based on a 27x P/E ratio for 2024, which is higher than the previous 25x but lower than the 5-year average of 32x [1][3]. Financial Summary - For FY23, the company reported a revenue of 13.526 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.398 billion RMB, down 14.8% year-on-year [2]. - The revenue for FY24 is projected to be 15.212 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 12.5% [2]. - The net profit for FY24 is expected to be 1.538 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 10% [2]. - The company’s gross margin for PCB and packaging substrates was 26.6% and 23.9% in 2023, respectively, with improvements noted in the second half of the year [2]. Business Segmentation - In 2023, the revenue from printed circuit boards (PCB) and packaging substrates was 8.1 billion RMB and 2.3 billion RMB, both down 8.5% year-on-year, while PCBA sales increased by 21.5% to 2.1 billion RMB [2]. - The second half of 2023 showed stronger performance compared to the first half, with significant growth in revenue driven by the recovery in automotive and energy sectors, although the telecommunications and data center sectors remained weak [2]. Market and Price Performance - The current stock price is 88.92 RMB, with a potential upside of 11.2% to the target price of 79 RMB [3]. - The company has a market capitalization of 45.607 billion RMB [4].