pingmei coal(SH:601666) Capital Securities·2024-03-27 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company maintains high profitability from premium coking coal and offers attractive dividends, making it a long-term hold [2] - The company reported a significant increase in performance in the first three quarters, with expectations for continued high growth throughout the year [4] - The company is focusing on a premium coal strategy and efficiency improvements, highlighting its long-term value through high dividends [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved operating revenue of 31.561 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.003 billion yuan, down 30.25% year-on-year [4] - The coal segment generated revenue of 30.815 billion yuan, accounting for 97.63% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 31.81%, down 3.09 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company sold a total of 31.0283 million tons of coal in 2023, with a sales price of 983.17 yuan per ton, down 12.07% year-on-year [4] Production and Sales - The company produced 30.71 million tons of raw coal, a slight increase of 1.35% year-on-year, while the sales volume of coking coal rose by 6.29% to 12.7136 million tons [4] - The company plans to increase its premium coal production to 13.05 million tons in 2024, reflecting a growth strategy in premium coal sales [4] Dividend Policy - The company announced a cash dividend of 9.90 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 2.425 billion yuan, which represents 60.59% of the net profit available for distribution [4] - The company aims to distribute at least 60% of its annual distributable profits as cash dividends, emphasizing its commitment to shareholder returns [4] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit for 2024-2026 is 4.42 billion, 5.00 billion, and 5.30 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 6.8, 6.0, and 5.7 times [4][5] - The company is expected to maintain high profitability as a leading regional coking coal producer [4]