NHWA(002262) 海通证券·2024-03-31 16:00Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's anesthesia business is growing steadily, with new pain management products driving future growth [5] - The company's revenue in 2023 reached 5,042 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.28%, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 1,037 million yuan, up 15.12% year-on-year [4] - The company's R&D investment in 2023 was 614 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.92%, with over 70 R&D projects in progress [5] - The company's anesthesia product revenue in 2023 was 2,702 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.29% [5] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow by 21.9%, 24.9%, and 24.2% in 2024-2026, reaching 1,264 million yuan, 1,579 million yuan, and 1,961 million yuan, respectively [5] Financial Performance - The company's revenue in 2023 was 5,042 million yuan, with a gross profit margin of 72.8% [6] - The company's net profit margin in 2023 was 20.6%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.1% [9] - The company's revenue is expected to grow by 20.4%, 20.2%, and 19.7% in 2024-2026, reaching 6,068 million yuan, 7,294 million yuan, and 8,729 million yuan, respectively [6] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to increase to 74.3%, 74.8%, and 75.4% in 2024-2026 [6] Business Segments - Anesthesia products: Revenue in 2023 was 2,702 million yuan, with a gross margin of 88.32% [7] - Psychiatric products: Revenue in 2023 was 92 million yuan, with a gross margin of 76.98% [7] - Neurological products: Revenue in 2023 was 127 million yuan, with a gross margin of 69.58% [7] - Other formulations: Revenue in 2023 was 154 million yuan, with a gross margin of 62.11% [7] - Active pharmaceutical ingredients (API): Revenue in 2023 was 146 million yuan, with a gross margin of 36.83% [7] - Commercial business: Revenue in 2023 was 709 million yuan, with a gross margin of 17.32% [7] Valuation and Forecast - The company's EPS is expected to be 1.25 yuan, 1.57 yuan, and 1.95 yuan in 2024-2026 [5] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to be 17.86x, 14.30x, and 11.51x in 2024-2026 [9] - The company's P/B ratio is expected to be 2.93x, 2.43x, and 2.01x in 2024-2026 [9] - The company's P/S ratio is expected to be 3.72x, 3.09x, and 2.59x in 2024-2026 [9] Industry Comparison - The average P/E ratio of comparable companies is 44x, 39x, 32x, and 27x for 2022-2025 [8] - The company's valuation is considered reasonable with a 2024 P/E range of 25-30x, corresponding to a fair value range of 31.25-37.50 yuan [5]