BD 密集落地，持续关注创新药械产业链 [Table_Industry] 医药 ——国泰海通医药 2025 年 10 月第三周周报 本报告导读： 近期 BD 密集落地，持续关注创新药械及产业链。 投资要点： 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 [table_Authors] 2025-10-21 [Table_Summary] 持续关注创新药械及产业链。创新药高景气，持续关注价值有望迎 来重估的 Pharma，重点标的：恒瑞医药、翰森制药、三生制药、长 春高新、华东医药、恩华药业，相关标的：石药集团；持续关注创 新管线逐步兑现、业绩进入放量期的 Biopharma/ Biotech，重点标的 科伦博泰生物、新诺威、百利天恒、映恩生物、京新药业、特宝生 物、我武生物、艾力斯，相关标的：信达生物；关注受益创新，景 气度修复的 CXO 及制药上游，重点标的：皓元医药、百普赛斯、药 明康德、药明合联、泰格医药；关注有望迎来复苏的医疗器械龙头， 如微创医疗、联影医疗、乐普医疗、惠泰医疗。 近期多起 BD 密集落地，有望催化创新药行情。近期多起创新药领 域 BD 密集落地，如 10 月 16 日普瑞金宣布与 Kite 达 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the growth and future trends in China's chemical pharmaceutical industry, indicating a steady increase in production and market dynamics from 2025 to 2031 [1]. Industry Summary - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the production of chemical pharmaceutical raw materials in China reached 263,000 tons in August 2025, with a cumulative production of 2,477,000 tons from January to August 2025, reflecting a growth of 3.1% [1]. - The report provides insights into the supply and demand situation in the chemical pharmaceutical industry, projecting future trends and market conditions [1]. Company Summary - Listed companies in the report include Heng Rui Medicine, East China Medicine, Lizhu Group, Baiyunshan, North China Pharmaceutical, Haizheng Pharmaceutical, Fosun Pharmaceutical, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Enhua Pharmaceutical, and Xianju Pharmaceutical, indicating a diverse range of players in the market [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of industry research and consulting services in aiding investment decisions, showcasing Zhiyan Consulting's expertise in providing comprehensive industry solutions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the growth trends in China's chemical pharmaceutical industry, projecting a production increase in raw chemical drugs by 3.4% year-on-year in April 2025, with a cumulative growth of 3.9% from January to April 2025 [1] Industry Summary - In April 2025, China's production of raw chemical drugs reached 332,000 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [1] - The cumulative production of raw chemical drugs from January to April 2025 totaled 1,257,000 tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 3.9% [1] - The report provides insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the chemical pharmaceutical industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the report include Heng Rui Medicine, East China Pharmaceutical, Lijun Group, Baiyunshan, North China Pharmaceutical, Haizheng Pharmaceutical, Fosun Pharmaceutical, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Enhua Pharmaceutical, and Xianju Pharmaceutical [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive consulting services for investment decisions [1]

13 October 2025 | 6:39PM CST Equity Research China Healthcare: 3Q25 preview: United Imaging & Lepu to lead revenue growth, Zhifei still at cycle trough Companies with higher revenue growth: We expect United Imaging to lead our coverage universe with a 44% yoy revenue growth in 3Q25. We believe the company's strong growth momentum is mainly driven by the improvement in China's hospital bidding data, which has begun to be reflected in its financial statements. We also expect Lepu to achieve rapid revenue grow ...

Core Insights - The aging population in China is leading to an increase in the prevalence of neurodegenerative diseases, significantly driving the demand for related medications. The market size for neurodegenerative disease drugs in China is projected to reach approximately 10.55 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.12% [1][5]. Industry Overview - Neurodegenerative disease drugs are designed to treat chronic progressive neurological disorders characterized by the degeneration of neurons, including Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, Huntington's disease, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis [2][3]. Industry Development History - The neurodegenerative disease drug industry in China has evolved through several phases: - From the 1990s to 2010, the industry began with the introduction of generic drugs to meet clinical needs, supported by regulatory improvements [3]. - From 2010 to 2020, the industry saw advancements in drug approval processes and clinical trial networks, leading to increased research quality and the emergence of innovative therapies [3]. - Since 2020, the focus has shifted towards innovation, with AI-driven drug development and the inclusion of Alzheimer's disease in special medical insurance categories enhancing drug accessibility [3]. Market Size - The market for neurodegenerative disease drugs in China is expected to grow to about 10.55 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 24.12%. The government's efforts to improve medical insurance policies are expected to further boost market growth by increasing drug accessibility for patients [5][6]. Key Companies and Performance - The competitive landscape of the neurodegenerative disease drug industry is characterized by the rise of domestic innovation and the presence of multinational pharmaceutical companies. Notable domestic companies include: - **Xiansheng Pharmaceutical**: Focuses on early intervention strategies and has a diverse pipeline in the central nervous system area [7]. - **Hengrui Medicine**: Engages in extensive R&D across neurology and pain management, with significant revenue growth and R&D investment [9][10]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards innovative therapies, with companies like Ruijian Pharmaceutical and Shenji Changhua making breakthroughs in cell therapy for Parkinson's disease [6]. Industry Development Trends 1. **Accelerated Innovation**: The development of neurodegenerative disease drugs is expected to accelerate, with a focus on innovative therapies driven by advancements in biotechnology and artificial intelligence [11]. 2. **Diverse Competitive Landscape**: The market will see increased competition, with domestic companies enhancing their capabilities to compete with international firms [12]. 3. **Policy Support and Regulation**: The government is likely to continue supporting the industry through policies that encourage R&D investment and improve drug accessibility for patients [13].

恩华药业所属申万行业为：医药生物-化学制药-化学制剂。所属概念板块包括：价值成长、增持回购、 融资融券、中盘、麻醉概念等。 10月10日，恩华药业盘中下跌2.09%，截至14:13，报27.21元/股，成交1.90亿元，换手率0.78%，总市值 276.40亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，恩华药业十大流通股东中，南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第九 大流通股东，持股905.17万股，为新进股东。香港中央结算有限公司、中欧医疗健康混合A（003095） 退出十大流通股东之列。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出614.35万元，特大单买入981.33万元，占比5.18%，卖出1872.27万元， 占比9.88%；大单买入4566.93万元，占比24.09%，卖出4290.34万元，占比22.63%。 恩华药业今年以来股价涨13.42%，近5个交易日跌5.19%，近20日涨11.79%，近60日涨28.59%。 截至6月30日，恩华药业股东户数4.36万，较上期增加30.17%；人均流通股20209股，较上期减少 23.19%。2025年1月-6月，恩华药业实现营业收入30.10亿元，同比增长8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [3] Core Viewpoints - The report continues to recommend innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices along the industry chain [2][7] - The performance of the pharmaceutical sector in September 2025 was weaker than the broader market, with the SW Pharmaceutical Biotech index declining by 1.7% compared to a 0.6% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [16][22] - The report highlights that the medical service sub-sector performed relatively well, increasing by 1.8%, while medical devices and chemical preparations saw slight declines [22] Summary by Sections - **Investment Recommendations**: The report includes a list of A-share stocks with an "Overweight" rating, including Heng Rui Pharmaceutical, Kelun Pharmaceutical, East China Pharmaceutical, Changchun High-tech, Enhua Pharmaceutical, WuXi AppTec, Tigermed, Lepu Medical, United Imaging Healthcare, and Huatai Medical [7][9] - **Performance Analysis**: The report notes that the monthly portfolio of Guotai Junan Pharmaceuticals outperformed the pharmaceutical index in September 2025, with an average increase of 1.1% compared to a 0.7% increase in the overall pharmaceutical index [12][13] - **Market Comparison**: The report indicates that the pharmaceutical sector's premium level relative to all A-shares is currently at a normal level, with a relative premium rate of 77.5% as of the end of September 2025 [26][28]

Group 1 - In the past five trading days, a total of 196 companies were investigated by institutions, with a significant focus on companies like Jingzhida, Xinlitai, and Enhua Pharmaceutical [1] - Among the companies investigated, 29 received attention from more than 20 institutions, with Jingzhida being the most popular, attracting 138 institutions [1] - The types of institutions involved in the investigations included 171 securities companies, 118 fund companies, and 57 private equity firms, indicating a strong interest from the securities sector [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital inflow, 8 out of the 29 companies that attracted more than 20 institutions saw net capital inflows, with Dangsheng Technology receiving the highest net inflow of 293 million yuan [1] - The performance of the investigated stocks showed that 12 companies experienced price increases, with Shen Gong Co., Jingzhida, and Xinlitai leading with gains of 31.80%, 17.68%, and 15.81% respectively [2] - Conversely, 17 companies saw declines, with Han Zhong Precision, Kexing Pharmaceutical, and Gao Weida experiencing the largest drops of 13.31%, 9.84%, and 9.25% respectively [2] Group 3 - The most frequently investigated company was Binglun Environment, which was surveyed 4 times, while Hu Dian Co. and Fule New Materials were investigated 3 and 2 times respectively [1] - The detailed list of companies investigated includes various sectors such as machinery, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, highlighting a diverse interest from institutions [2][3]

Group 1: Product Development and Clinical Trials - The company has a mature layout in the positive symptoms of schizophrenia, with ongoing projects NHL35700, NH300231, and NH140068 targeting negative symptoms [2][4] - NH600001 is expected to achieve a market scale of over 2 billion RMB after its launch, leveraging the advantages of etomidate while reducing adverse reactions [4] - NHL35700 is in the communication phase for its Phase III clinical trial with CDE, aiming for efficient advancement to benefit schizophrenia patients [6][8] Group 2: Market Strategy and Revenue Projections - The company has established online and offline retail divisions to expand its market presence, particularly for sleep-related products [5] - The revenue share from innovative drugs is projected to increase significantly with the upcoming launches, with a goal of one innovative drug being launched each year during the 14th Five-Year Plan [8][14] - The company anticipates a fundamental and sustainable improvement in operations starting next year with the approval of NH600001 [14] Group 3: Research and Development Focus - The company is exploring AI applications in drug development and aims to establish a system for early-stage research [12] - There is a focus on small nucleic acid drugs as a key development direction, with ongoing projects and collaborations in this area [13] - The company prioritizes unmet clinical needs in both domestic and international markets for its innovative drug projects [11] Group 4: Business Development and Licensing - The company plans to continue introducing differentiated projects from abroad and is in discussions for potential licensing-out opportunities [6][9] - The company is optimistic about the market potential for R-ketamine, which has completed Phase II trials and is preparing for Phase III [7] Group 5: Impact of Policy Changes - The company expects minimal impact from centralized procurement on its key products, with a strategic shift towards becoming an innovative drug-focused enterprise [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth in China's chemical pharmaceutical raw material production, with a reported output of 329,000 tons in May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [1] - Cumulative production of chemical pharmaceutical raw materials from January to May 2025 reached 1,585,000 tons, showing a cumulative growth of 5% [1] - The article references a report by Zhiyan Consulting, which provides insights into the market supply and demand trends in the Chinese chemical pharmaceutical industry from 2025 to 2031 [1] Group 2 - The listed companies in the article include Heng Rui Medicine, East China Medicine, Li Zhu Group, Baiyunshan, North China Pharmaceutical, Hai Zheng Pharmaceutical, Fosun Pharmaceutical, Ke Lun Pharmaceutical, En Hua Pharmaceutical, and Xian Ju Pharmaceutical [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is described as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1] - The article emphasizes Zhiyan Consulting's commitment to providing comprehensive industry solutions to empower investment decisions through professional insights and market acumen [1]