Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to Yubang New Materials (301266) with a target price range of 46.74-49.20 yuan for 2024, based on a PE valuation of 19-20x [24][26] Core Views - Yubang New Materials is a leading player in the photovoltaic ribbon industry, with strong growth potential driven by its 0BB technology and market share expansion [8][15][26] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 2.83 billion yuan in 2023E to 5.42 billion yuan in 2025E, with net profit increasing from 161 million yuan to 362 million yuan over the same period [9][26] - Yubang's 0BB ribbon technology reduces silver paste usage, improves power output, and mitigates power degradation, gaining widespread customer recognition [8] Business Performance - Photovoltaic ribbon business is projected to generate revenues of 2.80/4.12/5.35 billion yuan in 2023-2025, with gross margins of 11%/12%/13% respectively [2][10] - Other businesses are expected to contribute 40/52/68 million yuan in revenues with stable 90% gross margins during 2023-2025 [2][10] - Interconnection ribbons accounted for 78.56% of total revenue in H1 2023, growing 39.99% YoY, while busbar ribbons represented 19.75% with 7.23% YoY growth [4] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 2.84 billion yuan in 2023E to 5.42 billion yuan in 2025E, representing a CAGR of 38.2% [9][10] - Net profit is expected to increase from 161 million yuan in 2023E to 362 million yuan in 2025E, with a CAGR of 49.8% [9][26] - Gross margin is projected to improve from 12.1% in 2023E to 14.0% in 2025E, driven by product mix optimization and scale effects [9][10] Competitive Advantages - Possesses 78 authorized patents as of Q2 2023, with ongoing R&D projects including HJT-compatible 0BB ultra-fine wire development [15] - Maintains long-term partnerships with leading PV module manufacturers such as LONGi, Trina Solar, JinkoSolar, and Canadian Solar [15] - Holds ISO 9001:2015 certification and is the only ribbon supplier awarded the "Standardization Outstanding Contribution Unit" title in Jiangsu Province [15] Valuation - Comparable companies trade at an average 2024E PE of 12.67x, while Yubang is valued at 19-20x 2024E PE, reflecting its industry leadership and growth prospects [26][28] - The target price range of 46.74-49.20 yuan implies a 4.7%-10.2% upside from the current price of 44.64 yuan [7][26] Market Performance - The stock has underperformed the Haitong Composite Index by 51.37% over the past year, potentially offering a favorable entry point [25]
领跑焊带行业，0BB应用有望推动市占率进一步提升