Q4盈利承压，期待公司改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index over the next 6 to 12 months [2][11]. Core Views - The company faced pressure on earnings in Q4 2023, with a reported revenue of 4.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.84%. The net profit for the same period was 1.67 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year [2][4]. - The report highlights that the company is expected to improve its performance through the development of new product categories and channels, despite facing challenges from high raw material costs [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2022A: 2,548 million yuan - 2023A: 2,450 million yuan (down 4% YoY) - 2024E: 2,733 million yuan (up 12% YoY) - 2025E: 3,013 million yuan (up 10% YoY) - 2026E: 3,289 million yuan (up 9% YoY) [2][4]. - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2022A: 899 million yuan - 2023A: 827 million yuan (down 8% YoY) - 2024E: 927 million yuan (up 12% YoY) - 2025E: 1,068 million yuan (up 15% YoY) - 2026E: 1,166 million yuan (up 9% YoY) [2][4]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 0.78 yuan - 2023A: 0.72 yuan - 2024E: 0.80 yuan - 2025E: 0.93 yuan - 2026E: 1.01 yuan [2][4]. - Cash Flow Per Share: - 2022A: 0.94 yuan - 2023A: 0.38 yuan - 2024E: 0.66 yuan - 2025E: 0.79 yuan - 2026E: 0.86 yuan [2][4]. - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2022A: 12% - 2023A: 10% - 2024E: 11% - 2025E: 11% - 2026E: 11% [2][4]. - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: - 2022A: 17.2 - 2023A: 18.7 - 2024E: 16.6 - 2025E: 14.4 - 2026E: 13.2 [2][4]. - Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: - 2022A: 2.0 - 2023A: 1.9 - 2024E: 1.7 - 2025E: 1.6 - 2026E: 1.5 [2][4].