HACL(600598) 中航证券·2024-04-07 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an expected return exceeding 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The company, Beidahuang (600598), reported a revenue of 5.0444 billion yuan in 2023, representing an 18.37% year-on-year growth, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.064 billion yuan, up 9.07% year-on-year [1][2]. - The land leasing business generated 3.434 billion yuan in revenue, a 9.86% increase year-on-year, driven by competitive bidding and tiered pricing strategies [1]. - The company maintains a strong dividend policy, with a proposed cash dividend of 782 million yuan for 2023, reflecting a cash dividend ratio of 73.53% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the overall gross margin was 48.86%, a decrease of 4.19 percentage points due to increased costs from social security and agricultural maintenance [1]. - The company’s sales expense ratio was 0.73%, and R&D expense ratio was 1.78%, both showing stability [1]. - The financial expenses decreased to -168 million yuan, attributed to increased interest income [1]. Strategic and Value Attributes - Beidahuang is positioned as a leader in China's agricultural sector, contributing significantly to food security and stability in grain production [1]. - The company has a vast planting area of 10.429 million mu, producing high-quality crops such as rice, corn, and soybeans, totaling 12 billion jin [1]. - The long-term growth of domestic land rental prices has been robust, with a 194.8% increase over the past decade, indicating a strong foundation for the company's land leasing business [1][2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are expected to grow to 5.4231 billion yuan, 5.7223 billion yuan, and 6.0422 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.213 billion yuan, 1.204 billion yuan, and 1.278 billion yuan [6][7]. - The company is expected to maintain a high return on equity (ROE) of around 14.18% to 15.23% over the next few years [7].