2024年一季报业绩预告点评:成本端有所改善,提振盈利能力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [22] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 0.71-0.78 billion yuan in Q1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 80.00%-100.00% [5] - The company has optimized its cost structure, which is anticipated to enhance profitability [10][19] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the price trends of quail eggs, which are a significant raw material for the company [11][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 0.71-0.78 billion yuan for Q1 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 80.00%-100.00% [5] - The forecast for net profit for 2024-2026 has been raised to 2.77 billion, 3.50 billion, and 4.27 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.61, 0.78, and 0.95 yuan [20] Revenue and Cost Analysis - The company has expanded its product range and improved channel capabilities, with over 50% of revenue coming from large packaging and bulk sales [6] - Key raw material costs, such as anchovy and quail eggs, have decreased, contributing to improved profit margins [19] Market Position and Strategy - The company is transitioning from traditional distribution channels to modern multi-channel strategies, enhancing its market presence [6] - The focus on high-end products, such as deep-sea anchovies, aims to shift consumer perception and expand market opportunities [6] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 25X for 2024, 20X for 2025, and 16X for 2026 [20] - The report indicates a projected revenue growth rate of 20.03% for 2026 [21]