传统业务触底，新材料蓄势待发

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [1][24]. Core Views - The company's traditional business has reached a bottom, while new materials are poised for growth. The report highlights a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2023, with a year-on-year revenue drop of 16.9% to 8.26 billion yuan and a net profit decline of 75.1% to 340 million yuan [1][24]. - The report indicates that the major products' prices have sharply decreased, impacting overall performance. For instance, the average selling price of PVA fell by 38.48% year-on-year, leading to a revenue drop of 37.3% in this segment [1][24]. - Despite the challenges, there are positive signs for PVA pricing recovery and demand growth in the infrastructure sector, which is expected to drive future revenue increases [1][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 8.26 billion yuan, down 16.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 340 million yuan, down 75.1% year-on-year. The basic EPS was 0.16 yuan [1][2]. - The report forecasts revenues for 2024-2026 to be 9.72 billion yuan (+17.6%), 10.96 billion yuan (+12.8%), and 12.37 billion yuan (+12.8%), with net profits expected to be 1 billion yuan (+192.9%), 1.19 billion yuan (+19.0%), and 1.63 billion yuan (+36.9%) respectively [2][24]. Product Pricing and Market Dynamics - The average selling price of PVA in 2023 was 11,286.5 yuan/ton, down 38.48%, while the price for cement was 247.0 yuan/ton, down 20.0% [1][2]. - As of April 17, 2024, the PVA price has started to recover, reaching 11,931 yuan/ton, an increase of 7.2% since the beginning of the year [1][24]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its special PVA product lines, which are seeing strong demand. The report emphasizes the potential for revenue growth from new product capacities being released [1][24]. - The expected increase in demand for PVA in large infrastructure projects is anticipated to support revenue recovery in the coming years [1][24].