Create Century(SZ:300083) East Money Securities·2024-04-24 08:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company's performance in 2023 was under pressure due to a sluggish global macroeconomic environment and a slow recovery in the downstream 3C sector. However, with government policies encouraging the replacement of aging industrial machinery and a recovery driven by new technologies in the 3C market, along with an enhanced market position in the new energy sector, the company is expected to experience new growth [9][13] - The report adjusts the profit expectations for 2024-2025 and introduces a profit forecast for 2026, estimating revenues of 39.46 billion, 43.58 billion, and 48.23 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.06 billion, 4.99 billion, and 6.17 billion yuan [9][13] Financial Summary - In 2023, the company achieved operating revenue of 35.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.04%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.94 billion yuan, down 41.95% year-on-year. The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 7.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.07% [9][12] - The company’s overseas revenue grew significantly, reaching 1.45 billion yuan in 2023, up 74.84% year-on-year, while domestic revenue was 33.84 billion yuan, down 23.85% [9][12] - The main business of CNC machine tools generated revenue of 34.27 billion yuan, accounting for 97.10% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decrease of 22.51% [9][12] - The report highlights a weak demand in the machine tool market, with a decline in orders due to low global manufacturing PMI and insufficient recovery in domestic market demand [9][12] - The company is expected to benefit from national policies supporting the replacement of machines over ten years old, which will release demand for CNC machine upgrades and replacements [9][12] Future Outlook - The 3C business shows significant recovery momentum, with a notable increase in shipments of the company's flagship drilling and tapping machines, which saw over 120% year-on-year growth in the fourth quarter [9][12] - The company is expanding into new energy applications, focusing on lightweight and electric vehicle developments, and has launched a new lightweight gantry machining center as a high-end supporting product for integrated die-casting [9][12]