业绩拐点已至，高速增长超市场预期，医药主业增长驱动放量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yifan Pharmaceutical (002019 SZ) [20] Core Views - Yifan Pharmaceutical's Q1 2024 performance exceeded market expectations, driven by strong growth in the pharmaceutical sector [6] - The company's revenue for Q1 2024 reached 1 3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41 28%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 million yuan, up 125 55% [6] - The company's cost reduction and efficiency improvement efforts have significantly contributed to profit growth, with sales expense ratio dropping to 23 74% and management expense ratio to 6 75% in Q1 2024 [6] - The company's "big product" strategy is paying off, with domestic pharmaceutical product revenue reaching 2 01 billion yuan in 2023, a 21 72% increase [6] - The innovative drug Yilisu has completed registration in China, the US, and Europe, and is expected to contribute 72 million yuan in milestone revenue in 2024 [6] - The company's R&D investment continues to grow, with Q1 2024 R&D expenses reaching 59 88 million yuan, a 26% year-on-year increase [6] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 4 882 billion yuan in 2024E to 7 567 billion yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 24 5% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 552 million yuan in 2024E to 922 million yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 29 1% [2] - The company's EPS is projected to grow from 0 45 yuan in 2024E to 0 75 yuan in 2026E [2] - ROE is expected to improve from 5 8% in 2024E to 8 4% in 2026E [2] - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 28 1x in 2024E to 16 8x in 2026E, indicating potential undervaluation [2] Product Pipeline - Yilisu, the company's innovative drug, has a potential market size of 7 billion USD and is expected to achieve peak sales of over 5 billion yuan [6] - F652 is progressing well in clinical trials, with the ACLF indication expected to complete key clinical trial design and initiate patient enrollment in 2024 [6] - Hyruan ONE, a cross-linked sodium hyaluronate injection, was approved in China in April 2023 and included in the national medical insurance catalog in December 2023, with potential peak sales of 2 billion yuan [6] - The company has two products in pre-clinical stages for the US and European markets, and three third-generation insulin products in pre-clinical stages [6] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to have 2 products with overseas sales exceeding 100 million yuan and 4 products with sales exceeding 50 million yuan by 2024 [6] - Domestically, the company aims to have 9 products with sales exceeding 100 million yuan and 9 products with sales exceeding 50 million yuan by 2024 [6] - The company expects to have its first synthetic biology product ready for trial production by the end of 2024 [6]