Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark in the next six months [3][21]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and net profit for Q1 2024, with revenue reaching 1.582 billion yuan, up 8.46% year-on-year, and net profit at 203 million yuan, up 1.94% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [2][3]. - The gradual implementation of natural gas pricing policies across various regions is expected to benefit the company, as residential price differences are anticipated to recover [11][21]. - The company has committed to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 70% from 2023 to 2025, with a 2023 payout ratio of 97.13%, reflecting a dividend yield of 6.3% [21]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4.947 billion yuan in 2023, 5.146 billion yuan in 2024, 5.430 billion yuan in 2025, and 5.667 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.06%, 4.02%, 5.52%, and 4.38% respectively [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 606.31 million yuan in 2023, 654.05 million yuan in 2024, 689.40 million yuan in 2025, and 707.50 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 2.33%, 7.87%, 5.41%, and 2.63% [1]. - The report anticipates earnings per share (EPS) to be 0.88 yuan in 2023, 0.94 yuan in 2024, 1.00 yuan in 2025, and 1.02 yuan in 2026, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.33, 13.60, and 13.25 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [1][21].
2024年一季报点评:业绩微增,期待需求修复、顺价落地