Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is set at 14.00 CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 37.76% [1]. Core Insights - The company's regular business shows steady growth, but financial performance is impacted by the completion of large orders. In Q1 2024, revenue and profit growth rates declined due to the absence of large order revenue from Q1 2023. Excluding this, Q1 2024 revenue grew by 15.21% year-on-year, indicating stable growth in regular business [1]. - The small molecule CDMO business continues to perform well, although growth in emerging businesses has slowed due to environmental factors. In Q1 2024, the small molecule CDMO business generated revenue of 1.223 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 38.85%, but a growth of 26.58% when excluding large order revenue from Q1 2023 [1]. - The overseas market is experiencing strong growth, with a 62.80% year-on-year increase in customer revenue from Europe and the United States, indicating a robust expansion strategy in international capacity [1]. - Profit forecasts for 2024-2026 estimate revenues of 6.329 billion CNY, 7.807 billion CNY, and 9.817 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 1.108 billion CNY, 1.442 billion CNY, and 1.956 billion CNY, reflecting a significant decline in 2024 followed by recovery in subsequent years [1][2]. Financial Summary - In Q1 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1.4 billion CNY, with a net profit of 282 million CNY, and a non-recurring net profit of 254 million CNY, showing declines of 55.27% and 58.88% year-on-year respectively [1]. - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2024 was 43.52%, an increase of 4.88 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 20.14%, down 7.88 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s revenue for 2022 was 10.255 billion CNY, which decreased to 7.825 billion CNY in 2023, with an expected further decline to 6.329 billion CNY in 2024, before recovering in the following years [2][3].
常规业务稳健增长,海外市场持续向好