Roborock(SH:688169) INDUSTRIAL SECURITIES·2024-04-29 07:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 382.30 CNY as of April 26, 2024 [1][3] Core Views - The company's Q1 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 1.841 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 58.69%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 399 million CNY, a YoY increase of 95.23% [2] - The company's gross margin improved significantly in Q1 2024, reaching 56.49%, a YoY increase of 6.65 percentage points, driven by product and channel structure optimization, scale effects, and cost reduction capabilities [2] - The company's overseas sales growth was strong in Q1 2024, particularly in North America, where both online and offline channels expanded rapidly, while Europe and Asia-Pacific regions also showed high growth [2] - The company's domestic sales also grew rapidly, with online sales of扫地机 and洗地机 increasing by 29.88% and 11.45% YoY, respectively, in Q1 2024, supported by a robust product matrix and strong product capabilities [2] - The company's profitability is expected to continue improving, with EPS forecasts of 20.04 CNY, 23.57 CNY, and 27.79 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, and a dynamic PE ratio of 19.1x, 16.2x, and 13.8x as of April 26, 2024 [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue in 2023 was 8.654 billion CNY, with a YoY growth of 30.5%, and is expected to reach 11.190 billion CNY, 13.226 billion CNY, and 15.526 billion CNY in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 29.3%, 18.2%, and 17.4% [2][4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders in 2023 was 2.051 billion CNY, with a YoY growth of 73.3%, and is expected to reach 2.634 billion CNY, 3.099 billion CNY, and 3.653 billion CNY in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 28.4%, 17.7%, and 17.9% [2][4] - The company's gross margin remained stable at around 55% from 2023 to 2026, with a slight improvement to 56.0% in 2024 [2][4] - ROE is expected to increase from 18.0% in 2023 to 19.7% in 2024 and remain stable at around 19.7%-19.8% in 2025 and 2026 [2][4] Market and Industry Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of domestic demand and the structural upgrade红利 in overseas markets, as it is a leading global brand in the扫地机 industry [2] - The company's strong product capabilities, brand strength, and cost control capabilities, combined with accelerated expansion in new channels and markets in Europe and the US, are expected to drive further growth in both domestic and international market share [2]