Sinomine(002738) 德邦证券·2024-04-29 14:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) in the non-ferrous metals/small metals industry [1]. Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for 2023 and Q1 2024, with 2023 revenue at 6.013 billion yuan, down 25.22% year-on-year, and net profit at 2.208 billion yuan, down 32.98% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has successfully completed the construction of the Bikita lithium mine projects, which are expected to enhance raw material self-sufficiency and contribute to profits in Q4 2023 [3]. - The acquisition of the Kitumba copper mine project in Zambia is anticipated to provide new growth opportunities for the company [3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock has shown significant relative underperformance compared to the CSI 300 index, with absolute and relative declines noted [2]. Financial Performance - In 2023, Zhongmin Resources reported a revenue of 6.013 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.208 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 25.22% and 32.98% respectively [2][5]. - For Q1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.127 billion yuan, down 45.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of 256 million yuan, down 76.63% year-on-year [2][5]. Project Developments - The Bikita lithium mine projects have reached stable production levels, with an annual output of approximately 300,000 tons of lithium concentrate and 300,000 tons of chemical-grade spodumene [3]. - The Tanco mine in Canada is progressing with a production line of 180,000 tons per year, and plans for a new 1 million tons per year processing plant are underway [3]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 6.322 billion yuan, 8.046 billion yuan, and 9.804 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.527 billion yuan, 1.788 billion yuan, and 2.292 billion yuan [4][6]. - The report anticipates a recovery in performance with a projected PE ratio of 16.46 for 2024, decreasing to 10.96 by 2026 [4][6].