业绩短期承压，AI推动需求回暖

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Hold" rating for the company, with a current price of 37.92 CNY and no specified target price for the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2023 was 6.06 billion CNY, a decrease of 12.3% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 620 million CNY, an increase of 1.8% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2024 showed a revenue of 1.29 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, but a net profit decrease of 24.2% year-on-year [2][18]. - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but maintains a long-term positive trend. The demand for AI is expected to drive a recovery in demand [2][18]. - The company has a 6.3% market share in the global optical device market, ranking fourth globally, with significant positions in telecom transmission networks, data centers, and access networks [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, founded in 2001 and listed in 2009, is a leading manufacturer of optical devices and modules, focusing on both active and passive chip development [10][11]. - The company has a strong background in research and development, with a focus on expanding into new markets and products [10][12]. 2. Financial Analysis - The company reported a revenue of 6.06 billion CNY in 2023, down 12.3% from the previous year, while the net profit was 620 million CNY, up 1.8% [2][18]. - The first quarter of 2024 showed a revenue of 1.29 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, but net profit decreased by 24.2% [2][18]. - The company has maintained stable gross margins across its product lines, with transmission products accounting for 55.2% of sales and a gross margin of 29.6% [18][20]. 3. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for EPS from 2024 to 2026 is 0.98 CNY, 1.26 CNY, and 1.63 CNY, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 39x, 30x, and 23x [2][25]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the data communication market driven by AI, with significant revenue growth expected in the coming years [2][23]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-speed connections and new technologies in the optical device market [2][23].