Avary Holding(002938) 兴业证券·2024-05-06 07:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][32]. Core Views - The report highlights that the gradual adoption of edge AI is expected to trigger a wave of upgrades in consumer electronics, particularly in smartphones and PCs, driven by the introduction of AI processors by major players [3][8][14]. - The company is positioned as a global leader in PCB manufacturing, benefiting from the dual increase in volume and price of soft and hard boards due to the rise of AI terminals [25][32]. - The report emphasizes the significant potential for revenue growth as the company expands its product lines and production capabilities in response to the evolving market demands [30][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Edge AI and Consumer Electronics Upgrade - The introduction of AI processors by companies like Qualcomm and MediaTek is facilitating the emergence of AI smartphones, enhancing user experience through features like real-time translation and personalized services [8][10][14]. - The report anticipates a rapid increase in AI smartphone penetration, with projections indicating that the market share will rise from 5% in 2024 to 45% by 2027 [14][16]. 2. Chip Performance and PCB Value Increase - The report discusses how the integration of AI requires enhanced computing power, leading to upgrades in smartphone hardware, such as the Samsung Galaxy S24 series, which features significant improvements in CPU, GPU, and NPU performance [17][19]. - It notes that the increase in chip size and complexity will elevate the value of PCBs, with expectations for higher layer counts and reduced line widths in future designs [21][22]. 3. Global PCB Leader and Market Position - The company is recognized as the largest PCB manufacturer globally, with a diverse product range that includes FPC, SLP, HDI, and more, catering to various sectors including consumer electronics and automotive [25][27]. - The report highlights the company's strong competitive advantage in the smartphone and consumer electronics markets, which accounted for over 95% of its revenue in 2023 [27][30]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, projecting net profits of 38.17 billion, 44.49 billion, and 49.18 billion yuan for 2024-2026, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.7, 12.6, and 11.4 [3][32].