行业景气度下滑导致公司一季度业绩承压

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 36.91 billion yuan for Q1 2024, a decrease of 7.2% year-on-year and 16.2% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 392 million yuan, down 43.1% year-on-year and 59.8% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - Despite the overall industry downturn, the company demonstrated resilience due to its variety steel advantages, maintaining a gross profit margin of 5.86% in Q1 2024, although it decreased by 1.56 percentage points year-on-year and 2.31 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The report highlights that the steel industry is facing challenges such as insufficient demand and high raw material costs, but there are signs of improvement in demand since April 2024, particularly in the construction sector due to policy relaxations [2][4]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2024-2026 are 167.28 billion yuan, 171.82 billion yuan, and 170.82 billion yuan, respectively, with a slight growth forecast of 1.7% in 2024 and 2.7% in 2025 [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 5.14 billion yuan in 2024, 5.68 billion yuan in 2025, and 6.15 billion yuan in 2026, indicating a recovery trend after a projected decline of 20.4% in 2023 [5][6]. - The report notes that the company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and accelerating key projects, which are expected to enhance production capacity and efficiency [2][4].