King's Luck(SH:603369) East Money Securities·2024-05-07 10:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.098 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.07%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.136 billion yuan, up 25.30% year-on-year [2]. - The company has a clear path for high-quality development post the 100 billion yuan revenue milestone, with a target of 15 billion yuan in revenue by 2025 [3]. - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in performance due to the gradual recovery of the macro economy [7]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2023, the company reported a revenue of 1.735 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.76%, and a net profit of 500 million yuan, up 18.75% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.84%, with a net profit of 1.533 billion yuan, up 22.12% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2023 was 78.34%, an increase of 1.75 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 31.06%, a slight decrease of 0.68 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Product and Market Strategy Summary - The company optimized its product structure, with revenue from premium products (Special A+ and Special A) growing by 25.13% and 37.11% respectively in 2023 [2]. - The direct sales channel saw a revenue increase of 38.89% year-on-year, indicating a strong growth trajectory [2]. - Revenue growth was notable across various regions, with significant increases in Suzhong and outside the province, achieving growth rates of 38.78% and 40.18% respectively [2]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 12.374 billion yuan, 15.029 billion yuan, and 18.037 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.801 billion yuan, 4.676 billion yuan, and 5.494 billion yuan [7][8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3.03 yuan, 3.73 yuan, and 4.38 yuan respectively, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 18.81, 15.29, and 13.01 [8].