Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [8] Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to product cycles, with a focus on the upcoming release of new games [18] - The company has proactively laid out AI social products, with the AI songwriting feature expected to be implemented [2] - The company reported a decline in revenue and profit for 2023, primarily due to decreased revenue from older games and fewer new game launches [19] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a total revenue of 1.33 billion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 19.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 169 million yuan, down 23.8% year-on-year [11] - The revenue for Q4 2023 was 247 million yuan, a decline of 48% year-on-year, with a net profit of -10 million yuan [11] - The company anticipates revenues of 1.30 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected growth rate of -1.9% [22] Product and Market Strategy - The company is expanding its social product matrix and actively exploring the integration of generative AI technology [12] - The company has several new games in the pipeline, including "Star Wings," which was launched on April 18, and others like "Sword and Knight" and "Zero Domain Fantasy" [19] - The company aims to benefit from the continuous evolution of AI multimodal capabilities, enhancing user experience through features like AI virtual person creation and AI music video production [12] Valuation and Forecast - The forecast for 2024-2026 includes expected revenues of 1.30 billion yuan, 1.83 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 160 million yuan, 220 million yuan, and 260 million yuan [22] - The company's EPS is projected to be 0.33 yuan, 0.45 yuan, and 0.54 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [22] - The company’s market valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 37.3 in 2024, decreasing to 23.2 by 2026 [20]
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