VENUSTECH(002439) 国元证券·2024-05-09 11:00Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for the company [1] Core Views - The company's operating quality continues to improve, with significant business synergy effects [2] - Revenue growth in 2023 was driven by new business segments, with a 1.58% YoY increase to RMB 4.507 billion [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 18.37% YoY to RMB 741 million, while non-GAAP net profit decreased by 9.61% YoY to RMB 471 million [4] - New business segments (cloud security, data security 2.0&3.0, industrial internet security, and security operations) contributed RMB 2.142 billion, accounting for 47.54% of total revenue, with cloud security revenue growing 34.50% YoY [4] - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 923 million, a 17.13% YoY increase, but reported a net loss of RMB -114 million [4] - China Mobile Group became the company's actual controller in January 2024, leading to significant business synergy and strategic upgrades in network security [5] - The company accelerated the commercialization of new technologies and expanded its customer base, with identity trust products and 5G+ industrial internet security detection products growing over 200% YoY [6] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow to RMB 5.338 billion, RMB 6.284 billion, and RMB 7.340 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach RMB 912 million, RMB 1.116 billion, and RMB 1.359 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - EPS is forecasted to be RMB 0.74, RMB 0.91, and RMB 1.11 per share for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 25.57x, 20.90x, and 17.16x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] Business Synergy with China Mobile - The company signed 62 strategic cooperation agreements with China Mobile and its subsidiaries, focusing on integrated security operation centers, security cloud, dedicated line security, and AI security models [5] - The collaboration aims to provide diversified security protection and subscription services for government, enterprise, SME, and individual/home users [5] New Product and Customer Expansion - The company achieved rapid growth in new product revenue, with data security management platforms, network security ranges, full-flow detection, and EDR products growing over 50% YoY [6] - The company expanded its customer base to include individual/home users, with 3 million mobile cloud computer users and 50,000 QingSong Guardian users [6] Financial Ratios and Metrics - The company's ROE is expected to improve from 6.18% in 2023 to 9.35% in 2026 [12] - Gross margin is projected to remain stable at around 57.7% from 2024 to 2026 [15] - Net margin is forecasted to increase from 16.44% in 2023 to 18.51% in 2026 [15] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio is expected to remain below 20% from 2024 to 2026 [15]