技改持续放量，业绩弹性可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for 2023, with revenue reaching 3.71 billion yuan, up 77.7% year-on-year, and net profit of 970 million yuan, up 448.3% year-on-year [2][4] - The first quarter of 2024 showed continued strong performance, with revenue of 760 million yuan, up 66.5% year-on-year, and net profit of 230 million yuan, up 1539.4% year-on-year [2][4] - The company is expected to see a doubling of production capacity in the long term due to ongoing technical upgrades and expansions [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 3.71 billion yuan and a net profit of 970 million yuan, with a significant increase in production across various metals [2][4] - The company forecasts revenues of 5.13 billion yuan in 2024, 6.16 billion yuan in 2025, and 7.12 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 1.89 billion yuan, 2.33 billion yuan, and 2.78 billion yuan respectively [4][14] Production and Pricing - The company’s production of tin concentrate, zinc concentrate, and lead concentrate increased by 111%, 33%, and 204% respectively in 2023 [2] - The average tin price in 2023 was 212,000 yuan per ton, down 14.9% year-on-year, while the average silver price was 5,571.1 yuan per kilogram, up 17.8% [2][4] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to accelerate resource transfer and expansion of its silver mine, as well as increase its investment in gold resources [3] - The company aims to enhance its risk resilience through acquisitions of copper and gold resources abroad [3] Earnings Forecast - Future earnings are projected to grow significantly, with expected EPS of 1.03 yuan in 2024, 1.27 yuan in 2025, and 1.51 yuan in 2026, corresponding to PE ratios of 13, 10, and 9 respectively [3][4]