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呋喹替尼美国销售超预期,产品催化密集
00013HUTCHMED(00013) 德邦证券·2024-05-12 06:02

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the sales of Fruzaqla (fruquintinib) in the U.S. exceeded expectations, with sales reaching approximately 65 million USD by March 31, 2024, following its approval in November 2023 [4][7] - The company has a strong pipeline with multiple upcoming approvals and significant unmet medical needs in the oncology sector, particularly for colorectal cancer [4][8] - The report projects revenue growth for the company, with expected sales of 709 million, 912 million, and 1.131 billion USD for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [5][10] Summary by Sections Company Events - Takeda Pharmaceuticals reported that Fruzaqla's sales in the U.S. reached 101 billion JPY (approximately 65 million USD) by March 31, 2024, with a strong sales performance in Q1 2024 [4] - The company entered into a licensing agreement with Takeda for Fruzaqla's overseas rights, with potential payments totaling up to 1.13 billion USD [4] Market Performance - The report notes that colorectal cancer is a significant global health issue, with over 935,000 deaths in 2020, indicating a large market opportunity for Fruzaqla [4][8] - The company is expanding its indications in China, with multiple applications for new indications under review [4][9] Financial Projections - The report revises the sales expectations for Fruzaqla, forecasting revenues of 709 million, 912 million, and 1.131 billion USD for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of -15%, 29%, and 24% [5][10] - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin of approximately 54% in the coming years [10]