TZE(SZ:002129) Tebon Securities·2024-05-12 07:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for TCL Zhonghuan (002129.SZ) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 59.146 billion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 11.74% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.416 billion yuan, down 49.90% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 9.933 billion yuan, a decline of 43.62% year-on-year, with a net loss of 880 million yuan, a decrease of 139.05% year-on-year [4][5] - The company's silicon wafer shipments grew rapidly, with a total of approximately 114 GW shipped in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 68%. The overall market share for silicon wafers reached 23.4%, with N-type wafers holding a market share of 36.4% [5] - The company has been enhancing product technology, efficiency, and cost advantages, achieving a labor productivity of 25 MW/person/year for crystal production, which is 71% higher than the industry average [5] - The company is expanding its module business, with a shipment of 8.6 GW of photovoltaic modules in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 29.8% [5] - The report highlights a significant impairment loss of 1.01 billion yuan related to the company's equity investment in Maxeon, which negatively impacted overall performance [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, TCL Zhonghuan achieved a total revenue of 59.146 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.416 billion yuan. The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 49.103 billion yuan, 64.199 billion yuan, and 80.913 billion yuan, respectively [7][10] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 2.113 billion yuan, with projections of 3.233 billion yuan and 4.028 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [9][10] - The gross margin for 2023 was 20.2%, with expectations of 15.8% for 2024 and 15.9% for 2026 [8][10] - The company's total assets were reported at 125.063 billion yuan in 2023, with projections of 128.344 billion yuan and 140.855 billion yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively [10]