XINGYE SILVER&TIN(000426) 华福证券·2024-05-20 08:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.06 CNY per share, based on a valuation of 20 times earnings for 2024 [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in 2023, with total revenue reaching 3.71 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 77.7%, and a net profit of 969 million CNY, up 457.4% from the previous year [2][3]. - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 760 million CNY, reflecting a 66.5% year-on-year growth, while net profit surged to 230 million CNY, marking a staggering increase of 1539.4% [2]. - The production of tin and silver significantly contributed to the profit increase, with tin concentrate production rising to 0.78 million tons, a 155.4% increase year-on-year [2]. - The report anticipates continued production growth in 2024 due to the completion of multiple mining upgrades, projecting tin production to reach 1.15 million tons and silver production to 233 tons [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 3.71 billion CNY in 2023 to 6.09 billion CNY in 2024, representing a growth rate of 64% [3][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 969 million CNY in 2023 to approximately 2.03 billion CNY in 2024, indicating a growth rate of 109% [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.53 CNY in 2023 to 1.10 CNY in 2024 [3][8]. Production and Pricing Insights - The average price of tin in 2023 was 212,000 CNY per ton, a decrease of 13.3% year-on-year, while the average price of silver increased by 17.7% to 5,579 CNY per kilogram [2]. - In Q1 2024, the average tin price is expected to be 217,000 CNY per ton, a slight increase of 3.8% year-on-year, while silver is projected to average 6,025 CNY per kilogram, up 18.4% [2]. Company Performance by Segment - The subsidiary Yinman Mining reported a net profit of 844 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 317.6%, while Qianjinda and Rongguan Mining also showed significant profit growth [2].