Mindray(300760) 兴业证券·2024-05-26 03:01Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for Mindray Medical (300760) [2] Core Views - Mindray Medical is emerging as a global leader in the medical device industry, with a strong focus on international expansion and digital transformation [5] - The company is a pioneer in China's intelligent manufacturing, excelling in three core business areas: Life Information & Support, IVD, and Medical Imaging [5] - Mindray Medical is expected to achieve steady growth in 2024, driven by domestic hospital bidding recovery, international market penetration, and new infrastructure projects [5] Business Overview International Expansion - Mindray Medical has established a global presence, with products sold in over 190 countries and regions, and international sales accounting for 38.8% of total revenue in 2023 [11] - The company has a significant market opportunity internationally, with an addressable market exceeding 450 billion RMB, but current market share remains in the low single digits [11] - Mindray Medical has successfully penetrated high-end international markets, covering 660+ European teaching hospitals and all top 20 hospitals in the US [13] Core Business Areas Life Information & Support - Mindray Medical holds a leading position in the Life Information & Support segment, with multiple products ranking among the top globally [5] - The segment achieved revenue of 15.25 billion RMB in 2023, with a CAGR of 24% from 2018 to 2023 [38] IVD - IVD is the largest segment in both global and domestic medical device markets, with Mindray Medical building a comprehensive product portfolio across multiple technology platforms [5] - The company's IVD business achieved revenue of 12.42 billion RMB in 2023, with a CAGR of 22% from 2018 to 2023 [49] Medical Imaging - Mindray Medical's Medical Imaging business is moving towards high-end products, with significant breakthroughs in ultrasound technology [5] - The company has released several high-end ultrasound products, such as the Resona A20 and Recho R9, showcasing its R&D capabilities [5] Digital Transformation - Mindray Medical is undergoing a digital transformation, leveraging its "Three Rui" ecosystem to enhance global healthcare institutions' diagnostic capabilities [5] - The company's digital solutions, including Ruizhilien, Mindray Smart Lab, and Ruiying Cloud++, have been widely adopted in both domestic and international markets [24] Financial Analysis - Mindray Medical's revenue is expected to grow from 34.93 billion RMB in 2024E to 61.17 billion RMB in 2026E, with a CAGR of 20.3% [6] - The company's net profit is projected to increase from 11.58 billion RMB in 2024E to 20.31 billion RMB in 2026E, with a CAGR of 20.9% [6] - Gross margin is expected to remain stable, increasing slightly from 66.5% in 2024E to 67.2% in 2026E [6] Market Opportunities Domestic Market - The domestic medical device market is expected to benefit from new infrastructure projects, equipment updates, and critical care capacity building [27] - Mindray Medical estimates that the domestic market opportunity for its products exceeds 100 billion RMB, with current market share at only 20% [25] International Market - The international market presents a significant growth opportunity, with an addressable market exceeding 450 billion RMB [11] - Mindray Medical is well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity, with a strong product portfolio and a growing presence in both developed and emerging markets [11]