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英伟达:2025财年一季报点评:业绩&指引超预期,AI产品需求持续高景气
NVDANvidia(NVDA) 东吴证券·2024-05-29 11:31

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - Nvidia's Q1 FY2025 earnings and guidance exceeded market expectations, driven by strong demand for AI products [2] - Data center revenue reached 22.56billion,up42722.56 billion, up 427% YoY and 23% QoQ, with computing and networking businesses growing over 5x and 3x respectively [3] - The Blackwell (B-series) GPU shipments are ahead of schedule, while demand for the Hopper (H-series) remains strong during the product transition period [3] - Customer structure optimization has improved demand sustainability, with large cloud providers' revenue share decreasing from over 50% to around 45% [4] - Sovereign AI, consumer internet, autonomous driving, and healthcare are expected to contribute billions in revenue, diversifying demand sources [4] Financial Performance and Projections - Q1 FY2025 revenue: 26 billion, up 262% YoY and 18% QoY [2] - Q1 FY2025 Non-GAAP net income: 15.2billion,up46215.2 billion, up 462% YoY and 19% QoY [2] - Q2 FY2025 revenue guidance: 280±5.6 billion, up 107% YoY and 7.5% QoY [2] - FY2025E revenue: 118.044billion,up94118.044 billion, up 94% YoY [2] - FY2025E net income: 62.96 billion, up 112% YoY [2] - FY2025E Non-GAAP net income: 65.76billion,up10465.76 billion, up 104% YoY [2] - FY2025E EPS: 25.30, with a P/E ratio of 45x [2] Business Highlights - Data center business remains the primary growth driver, with B-series GPUs expected to ramp up in Q3 FY2025 [3] - H100 supply constraints have eased, but H200 supply remains tight [3] - Sovereign AI revenue is projected to grow from zero to billions in FY2025 [4] - Diversified demand from verticals like autonomous driving and healthcare is expected to contribute significantly [4] Valuation and Ratios - Current P/E ratio: 94x (GAAP), 87x (Non-GAAP) [2] - FY2025E P/E ratio: 45x (GAAP), 43x (Non-GAAP) [2] - FY2025E ROE: 69%, with a gross margin of 124% [7] - FY2025E net profit margin: 53% [7] Stock Split and Market Data - Nvidia announced a 10-for-1 stock split, effective June 7, 2024 [2] - Current stock price: 1,139,witha52weekrangeof1,139, with a 52-week range of 298 to 1,149.4[4]Marketcapitalization:1,149.4 [4] - Market capitalization: 2.806 trillion [4]