易普力：订单充足，受益行业格局优化和景气上行

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-B" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months with expected returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by 5% to 15% [11]. Core Views - The company has a robust order book and is expected to benefit from an improving industry landscape and rising demand due to infrastructure projects and mining capital expenditures [12][18]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the civil explosives industry, with strict supply controls and ongoing industry consolidation, which is expected to enhance its market position [12][18]. Financial Forecasts and Business Segmentation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 96.54 billion, 109.29 billion, and 122.12 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.6%, 13.2%, and 11.7% [12]. - Net profits are expected to be 7.66 billion, 9.00 billion, and 10.21 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting growth rates of 20.8%, 17.5%, and 13.5% [12]. - The company’s revenue from blasting services is forecasted to be 64.45 billion, 75.73 billion, and 87.09 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, with corresponding gross margins of 20.5%, 21.0%, and 21.5% [16]. - Revenue from explosives is expected to be 19.00 billion, 19.74 billion, and 20.31 billion yuan, with gross margins of 37.50%, 38.41%, and 38.71% for the same period [16]. - The company’s revenue from detonators is projected to be 8.80 billion, 9.11 billion, and 9.53 billion yuan, with gross margins declining from 31.25% to 29.03% over the forecast period [5][17]. Comparative Analysis - The report compares the company with peers such as Guangdong Hongda, Guotai Group, and Jinaobo, noting that the average PE ratios for comparable companies are 18.3x, 14.4x, and 11.3x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [18]. - The company’s projected PE ratios are 20.5x, 17.5x, and 15.4x for the same years, indicating a premium valuation compared to its peers [18].