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美图公司:深度研究报告:AI浪潮的水手:影像设计龙头的增长飞轮与盈利新航道
01357MEITU(01357) 华创证券·2024-06-07 17:31

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Meitu Inc. (01357.HK) [1][8] Core Views - The company has undergone significant transformation driven by the AI wave, shifting its revenue structure towards subscription-based models, which now account for over half of its income, surpassing advertising as the primary revenue source [1][19] - The report highlights three key trends in the imaging digitalization industry: subscription models, lightweight tools, and AIGC (AI-Generated Content), which are expected to drive growth for Meitu [1][26] - The company is well-positioned in both lifestyle and productivity scenarios, with a strong user base and significant growth in subscription revenue, particularly in its productivity tools [1][19] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Meitu was established in 2008 and has developed a range of design products, focusing on AI applications in imaging and beauty solutions [12] - The company has transitioned from hardware to software, with a significant focus on AI-driven tools and services [13] Industry Trends - The report identifies the shift to subscription models as a major trend, with companies like Adobe leading the way in SaaS transformations, which have resulted in increased revenue and profitability [27][28] - Lightweight collaborative SaaS tools like Canva and Figma are lowering barriers for design product usage, indicating a growing demand for accessible design solutions [30][31] Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of CNY 3.61 billion, CNY 4.54 billion, and CNY 5.26 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 26%, and 16% [2][8] - Adjusted net profit is expected to reach CNY 570 million, CNY 770 million, and CNY 1 billion over the same period, with growth rates of 54%, 36%, and 30% [2][8] - The company has shown a consistent improvement in profit margins, with a gross margin of 61.4% in 2023, and a stable decline in expense ratios, indicating operational efficiency [19][22] Global Expansion - Meitu has initiated a global strategy, with 30% of its subscription users coming from overseas markets, contributing to 50% of its revenue, highlighting the potential for further growth in international markets [1][19]