12 August 2024 | 9:49AM GST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 Parkin Co. (PARKIN.DU): 2Q24 First Take Parkin reported 2Q24 results on August 12th pre-market open. Revenues for 2Q24 came in at AED206mn, +3%/-2% vs. GSe/Eikon consensus, up +12% yoy driven by higher revenues from public parking (+7% yoy), developer parking (+7% yoy), seasonal permits (+15% yoy) and fines (+27% yoy). EBITDA of AED134mn came ahead of our estimates and consensus, reflecting a c.65% margin for the quarter driven by revenue growth a ...

Harbour Energy Analysis - **Investment Rating**: Sell rating maintained for Harbour Energy due to its high exposure to European spot gas prices, negatively impacting its earnings profile in 2025-26E [5] - **Core Thesis**: Harbour Energy offers the lowest cash return to shareholders at 6.9% in 2024/25E compared to the EU E&P sector average of 10.9%/12.7% [2] - **Valuation**: The company trades in line with its peers in the EU E&P sector on 2025E EV/DACF, but better combinations of shareholder return, growth, and valuation are found elsewhere in the sector [3] Copper Industry Update - **Escondida Mine Labor Negotiations**: Sindicato No.1 (2.4k operators) at Escondida, the largest single mine union in Chile, has not agreed to initial terms presented by BHP, with government mediation underway [6] - **Potential Cost Impact**: Negotiating an improvement on the existing contract could cost approximately $110mn in cash bonuses, adding USc8/lb to 2H'24e Escondida unit costs [6] Beverages Industry Trends - **Soft Drinks Performance**: Nielsen Carbonates data for the 4 weeks to 14 July shows flat sales development yoy in Western Europe, with the UK down 10.8%, France -8.6%, and Spain -6.9% [6] - **Promotional Activity**: Promotional activity ramped up across all tracked markets, with Germany showing +1.9% volume growth likely due to the UEFA Eurocup [6] UK Macroeconomic Outlook - **Inflation Forecast**: July inflation is expected to see services inflation decelerate to 5.48%, down from 5.74% in June, with core inflation decelerating to 3.38% [8] - **Labour Market**: The June labour market report is expected to show the 3m average unemployment rate edge up to 4.5%, above the BoE's forecast of 4.4% [8] Global Economics Insights - **Neutral Real Rate (r*)**: The neutral real rate is an important anchor for monetary policy and financial markets, with market-based estimates suggesting high returns from macroeconomic stabilization [8] - **China PBOC Policy**: The PBOC maintained an easing bias in its 2Q monetary policy report, with a forecast for a 25bp RRR cut in 3Q and a 10bp policy rate cut in 4Q [8] FX Market Dynamics - **Yen Carry Trade Unwind**: The CFTC weekly positioning report suggests net shorts amongst non-commercial investors have fallen to just $1bn from a peak net short of nearly $15bn, indicating c.90% of the carry trade unwind is done [8]

12 August 2024 | 1:48PM AEST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 Helia Group (HLI.AX): 1H24 results preview — focus on claims environment and capital management; Neutral Results date Tuesday, 20 August 2024 Goldman Sachs forecasts Cash earnings: 1H24E underlying cash earnings down -25% pcp to A$102.8 mn. DPS: Interim ordinary DPS of A15¢. What we expect n Request for Proposal (RFP): On 19-Jun, HLI was advised by CBA (for a second time in three years) that it will issue an RFP relating to its Lenders Mortgage I ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Cellnex, indicating a positive outlook for the company [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential for a strike at Escondida, the largest copper mine in Chile, which could impact copper supply and prices. Negotiations with Sindicato No.1 are ongoing, and historical patterns suggest a likelihood of industrial action [2]. - Cellnex's sale of its Austrian asset for €803 million is viewed positively, as it supports the company's deleveraging efforts and enhances the growth outlook for its remaining assets [2]. - UK inflation is expected to decelerate, with services inflation projected at 5.48% for July, slightly below the Bank of England's forecast [4][5]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is maintaining an easing bias to support economic growth, with expectations for a 25 basis point cut in the reserve requirement ratio in Q3 [5]. - The report notes a rebound in the Japanese equity market, with a revised 12-month target for TOPIX set at 2,900, reflecting a constructive long-term outlook despite recent corrections [9]. - In the China Internet sector, Tencent and Alibaba are expected to report in-line results, with Tencent projected to see a 33% year-on-year growth in adjusted operating profit [10]. Summary by Sections Copper Industry - The potential strike at Escondida could add USc8/lb to unit costs in the second half of 2024, with a cash bonus of approximately $110 million being a significant factor in negotiations [2]. Cellnex - The sale of the Austrian asset for €803 million implies a valuation of 20x 2025E EV/EBITDAaL, which is below recent transaction multiples but supports Cellnex's deleveraging path and enhances organic revenue growth [2]. UK Macro - July inflation is expected to show a deceleration in services inflation to 5.48%, with core inflation projected at 3.38% [4]. - The unemployment rate is anticipated to edge up to 4.5% in the June labour market report [4]. Global Economics - The report discusses cross-country differences in the neutral real rate (r*), emphasizing the benefits of macroeconomic stabilization for lowering interest rates [4]. China Macro - The PBOC's supportive stance includes a forecast for a 25 basis point cut in the reserve requirement ratio in Q3 and a 10 basis point policy rate cut in Q4 [5]. US Equities - The S&P 500 ended flat after a recovery from a previous sell-off, with small-cap and tech stocks underperforming [7]. Japan Strategy - The TOPIX index has rebounded by 11% from recent lows, with a revised year-end target reflecting the impact of recent market corrections [9]. China Internet - Tencent is expected to report a 33% year-on-year growth in adjusted operating profit, while Alibaba's EBITA is forecasted to decline by 11% year-on-year [10]. GCC TMT - The GCC TMT sector shows attractive free cash flow outlooks and dividend potential, with growth expected in both consumer and B2B segments [11].

12 August 2024 | 8:59AM CEST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 GS Utilities Daily: 40% of Biden's IRA top manufacturing projects on hold // Ørsted partnership to develop 1GW battery storage across US Alberto Gandolfi +39(02)8022-0157 | alberto.gandolfi@gs.com Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE - Milan branch Ajay Patel +44(20)7552-1168 | ajay.patel@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Mafalda Pombeiro +44(20)7552-9425 | mafalda.pombeiro@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Jojo Kwofie +44(20)7774-6526 | jojo.kwofie@gs ...

12 August 2024 | 7:01AM GST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 GCC TMT 1H24 recap: we reiterate our preference for names with attractive FCF outlook and dividend upside Themes in focus for 2H24 Our conversations with investors about the GCC TMT sector remain focused on market growth prospects (consumer/B2B), margin outlook and capital allocation. On the consumer side, we continue to see growth vs. 2023 levels in Saudi/UAE supported by population growth (residents/tourists) on the back of healthy business/econ ...

11 August 2024 | 10:04PM EDT FX in Focus The Yen Carry Trade—A Roadblock to BoJ Hikes, Not Fed Cuts (Fishman/Kanter) n The recent sharp appreciation of the Yen coinciding with a spike in cross-asset volatility has heightened the focus on the "Yen carry trade" and the broader financial market implications from further unwinds. Limited data availability presents a challenge to confidently assessing "how much is left," but substantial holdings among longer-term investors leave room to run. That said, subsequen ...

12 August 2024 | 9:48AM GST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 GCC Energy Limited upside for Saudi drillers, prefer higher visibility for ADNOC Drilling Remain Neutral-rated on Saudi drillers Into 3Q, we expect Arabian Drilling's (ADC) top line to marginally grow on a further ramp-up of unconventional rigs, partially offset by lower offshore contribution following suspensions which we see weighing slightly on margins. For ADES, we expect broadly stable top-line/EBITDA performance, partially supported by the c ...

11 August 2024 | 10:46PM EDT Sell 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 Funko Inc. (FNKO) Earnings Review: Key takes coming out of 2Q24 results FNKO 12m Price Target: $6.50 Price: $9.62 Downside: 32.4% Funko reported 2Q24 results that came in above the company's 2Q24 guidance and Visible Alpha Consensus Data expectations. Results featured a beat to Revenues ($284M vs. consensus of $231M), Adjusted EBITDA ($28M vs consensus $12M), and Adjusted Diluted EPS estimates ($0.10 vs consensus -$0.13). The beat to Revenue ...

12 August 2024 | 10:17AM GST 2131d4eaf4cb4d50b1d51c8af07b64b4 BinDawood Holding (4161.SE): 2Q24 First Take: Beat vs GSe/consensus driven by stronger-than-expected margins BinDawood Holding reported preliminary 2Q24 revenue of SR1.42bn (+0.4% yoy), c.1%/2% below GSe/Reuters consensus. Net income came in at SR75mn, up c.14% yoy, c.23%/24% above GSe/consensus. Net margin came in at 5.3%, up c.65bp yoy and c.100bp above GSe/consensus. n Revenue was up 0.4% yoy, supported by improved product mix, increased engag ...