8 August 2024 | 5:49PM CEST _ Big Oils Assessing Big Oils cash returns in a lower oil price environment; Screening for resilience Brent spot oil prices are down 5% over the past week, and the 2025 Brent futures curve has fallen below the $75 floor of this year's trading range and our commodity analysts' $75-90 range. While we still believe our $80/bbl oil price forecast for 2025 will withstand macro headwinds, given the consistent OPEC+ support of this oil price level over the past two years, we have attemp ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a mixed sentiment with specific companies receiving upgrades and downgrades, reflecting a cautious approach towards the market [14]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant amount of deleveraging across the risk complex, suggesting forced risk transfer among market participants [3]. - There is an expectation of continued economic expansion rather than recession, supported by a recent increase in labor supply and healthy labor market indicators [4]. - The report notes that momentum factors are diverging from consensus secular themes, indicating a shift in market dynamics [5]. Company-Specific Summaries TMT Sector - ARM ADRs upgraded to Outperform with a price target of $130 [9]. - BMBL downgraded to Hold with a price target of $6.50 due to poor growth [9]. - HUBS raised to Sector Weight, indicating positive sentiment despite macro headwinds [9]. Healthcare Sector - CRL downgraded to Neutral with a price target of $191 [10]. - NVRO upgraded to Peerperform, reflecting improved outlook [10]. - MCK lowered FY25 revenue growth guidance, indicating potential challenges ahead [10]. Consumer Sector - KVYO upgraded to Overweight with a price target of $33, reflecting strong performance [11]. - MNST missed expectations and flagged a category slowdown, indicating potential headwinds [11]. - BROS downgraded due to a downturn in growth outlook and lower unit development guidance [11]. Industrials/Mats Sector - ASH upgraded to Neutral with a price target of $89, indicating a more favorable outlook [12]. - WLK rated New Outperform with a price target of $170, suggesting strong potential [12]. - TXT downgraded to Equal-Weight with a price target of $95, reflecting a cautious stance [12].

Accessible version | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | Global Rates Weekly Sahm-day maybe | | | | The View: Central banks out for summer | 02 August 2024 | | | We retain a bullish bias across m ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for SMIC is Neutral [2][6][8] Core Insights - SMIC is the largest foundry in China, covering technology from 0.35um to 14nm process nodes, with a diverse application range including smartphones and consumer electronics [6] - The company expects a revenue growth of 13% to 15% quarter-over-quarter for Q3 2024, with a gross margin guidance of 18% to 20%, indicating a faster recovery than anticipated [2][6] - Despite positive long-term growth prospects driven by local fabless customers, short-term profit growth is expected to be slow due to industry down-cycle and weak demand from smartphones and consumer electronics, which constitute about 50% of SMIC's revenue [6][7] Revenue and Margin Guidance - Q3 2024 revenue is projected to be between US$2,148 million and US$2,186 million, exceeding previous estimates [2][3] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 is expected to improve to 18% to 20%, compared to 13.9% in Q2 2024, which is higher than previous estimates [2][3] Recent Performance - In Q2 2024, SMIC reported revenues of US$1.9 billion, a 9% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 22% increase year-over-year, slightly above guidance [3][5] - The gross margin for Q2 2024 was 13.9%, significantly higher than the guidance of 9% to 11% and previous estimates [3][5] Financial Metrics - The company’s operating income for Q2 2024 was US$87 million, with a net profit of US$165 million, reflecting a 129% increase quarter-over-quarter [3][5] - Capacity increased to 837.0k wpm by Q2 2024, with utilization rates improving to 85.2% [3][5] Price Target - The 12-month target price for SMIC's H-share is set at HK$21.40, based on a P/E ratio of 26x for 2025 estimates [7][8] - The A-share target price is set at Rmb53.70, reflecting a 273% premium over the H-share target price [7][8]

Point | The Global Point Asia DBS Group (DBSM.SI) - 2Q24 beat on NII/fees, DPS S$0.54 flat; higher 2024 guidance offers some relief before focusing on 2025 guidance DBS reported PBT S$3,219m, in-line with Citi (S$3,206) but 6% ahead of consensus (S$3,047) driven by higher NII +3%qoq and fees income stable qoq. 2Q24 quarterly DPS S$0.54 as we had expected. Key positive extended from OCBC results was better asset quality sequentially; NPL ratio stable on lower absolute NPA. Outlook: Mgmt. cautiously optimisti ...

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Asia-Pacific Space Mining Market MM P a g e | 1 Copyright © 2021 Apollo Reports www.apollorr.com Market estimates and forecasts Asia-Pacific Space Mining Market Table of Contents | --- | |--------------------| | About Us | | 1.1Our Expertise . | Disclaimer Policy . 1.3License 1.2 1.3.1 Single User License . 1.3.2 Multi-User License Corporate User License 1.3.3 2 Research Methodology 2.1 Hypothesis through Desk Research and Internal Repository ................................................................ ...

7 August 2024 | 3:15AM EDT Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI): F4Q24 review: Gross margin weakness offsets better revenue outlook SMCI's F4Q24 EPS missed ($6.25 v. $7.62-$8.42 guidance) as in-line revenue of $5.3 bn (v. $5.1-$5.5 bn guidance) was more than offset by a gross margin miss at 11.3% (v. consensus 14.2%). Weaker than expected gross margins of 11.3% were impacted by SMCI's focus on strategic new design wins with competitive pricing to win market share, customer mix (e.g., emerging hyperscalers) and ...

For the exclusive use of VIPS@RISKMACRO.COM 9a0c3bf0514c11deab0a0014c2408514 What's Top of Mind in Macro Research: US recession fears likely overblown, market volatility, Europe/China economic weakness 7 August 2024 | 4:39PM EDT This week: n US: weaker data, but recession fears likely overblown n Markets: bad news is bad news n Europe and China: a weaker economic picture, too Transcript US: weaker data, but recession fears likely overblown We raised our 12m US recession odds by 10pp to 25% and now expect a ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for imports with a score of +3, while exports received a score of 0, reflecting weaker performance [2]. Core Insights - China's export value growth was 7.0% year-over-year in July, which was below expectations, while import value growth was 7.2%, exceeding consensus forecasts [3][5]. - The trade surplus decreased to US$84.6 billion in July from US$99 billion in June, indicating a decline in export performance [5][9]. - Import strength was attributed to more working days in July this year compared to last year, contributing to a sequential growth of 4.0% in imports [5][6]. Summary by Category Export Performance - Year-over-year export growth moderated to 7.0% in July from 8.6% in June, with a sequential decline of 2.0% non-annualized [3][5]. - Exports to major trading partners showed mixed results, with exports to the US rising by 8.1% year-over-year and to the EU by 8.0% [6][10]. - Tech-related products, such as chips and automobiles, saw notable growth, with chip exports increasing by 27.7% year-over-year [7][11]. Import Performance - Import growth accelerated significantly to 7.2% year-over-year in July, compared to a decline of 2.3% in June, with a sequential increase of 4.0% [3][5]. - The most significant increases in imports were seen in automobiles, which rose by 17.3% year-over-year, and chips, which increased by 14.9% [8][12]. - Import value rose across major trading partners, with notable improvements from the US and EU [6][11].