J P M O R G A N Global Quantitative & Derivatives Strategy 27 August 2024 US Equity Financing and AIR TRF Monitor Aug 27, 2024 • Short-dated implied financing rates increased on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 w/w, leading to a flattening of the funding term structure. • Pricing on the S&P 500 AIR TRFs increased 1 bp on the Sep'24 contract, 4 bps on the Dec'24 contract, 3 bps on the Mar'25 contract, and were little changed across the rest of the curve w/w. • Volumes on S&P 500 AIR TRFs totaled ~$8 ...

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August 27, 2024 01:00 PM GMT Venture Vision: The Crypto > AI Pivot Bitcoin's price sits 6% below its 2021 high, yet venture funding for blockchain protocols is 75% lower. Investors have pivoted en masse towards funding AI start-ups. Will this encourage more mining-to-data centre conversion? Will the AI 'spray-and-pray' be any more likely to find product market fit? Blockchain has a product-market-fit and repeat-user problem - and venture investors know it. 'Self-custody' and 'Digital-Gold' arguments resonat ...

ab 28 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab China Economic Perspectives Home Destocking Debate and Property Forecast Downgrade Economics China Where are we now in the property downturn? China's property activities have not bottomed since the unprecedented sharp downturn in 2021. The decline in urban housing prices has accelerated since H2 2023 amid elevated inventory pressure, weighing on household home purchase intention, consumption confidence and local government finances. China has eased property ...

M Global Idea Thematics August 28, 2024 03:00 AM GMT What to Buy & Sell Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+ Edward Stanley Equity Strategist Edward.Stanley@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0840 Matias Ovrum Equity Strategist Matias.Ovrum@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-9902 The market is fidgeting to find the "next big theme" despite the current ones (1) having attractive fundamentals, (2) performing in line with prior multi-year themes, (3) seeing upgrades to consensus estimates and (4) remaining reasonably ...

Michael Feroli (1-212) 834-5523 michael.e.feroli@jpmorgan.com JPMorgan Chase Bank NA Michael S Hanson (1-212) 622-8603 michael.s.hanson@jpmchase.com JPMorgan Chase Bank NA Murat Tasci (1-212) 622-0288 murat.tasci@jpmchase.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Abiel Reinhart (1-212) 270 4058 abiel.reinhart@jpmchase.com JPMorgan Chase Bank NA United States • 3Q GDP growth tracking stronger on signs of solid consumer spending • Business spending has been more cautious and business sentiment is downbeat • Core PCE inf ...

Accessible version The Flow Show The last private hire Scores on the Doors: gold 22.4%, stocks 15.4%, crypto 14.3%, HY bonds 6.8%, oil 5.9%, commodities 4.0%, IG bonds 3.8%, cash 3.5%, govt bonds 0.7%, US$ 0.0% YTD. Zeitgeist: "We present at the trade shows because customers want to see you using AI. Can't figure out how to make any money with it, though." The Price is Right: big support levels held in August…3.8% GT10, 4.0% GT30, 100 DXY, 140 USDJPY, $70 oil, $60k Bitcoin; reversal higher in bond yields li ...

Morgan Stanley August 27, 2024 10:58 AM GMT North America a America North | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|----------------|-------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | Interest Rate Strategy Positions and Flows Report | | | | | | Weekly Market Positioning Data | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ...

Global Quantative & Derivatives Strategy August 27, 2024 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan China Equity Flow Monitor Xipu HanAC +852 2800 1029 xipu.han@jpmorgan.com Haoshun Liu +852 2800 7736 haoshun.liu@jpmorgan.com Data as of August 23, 2024 T ...

ab 26 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab US Equity Strategy Earnings Brief 2Q24: August 26 NVDA (6.6% of S&P 500 market cap) reports earnings on Wednesday. EPS is expected to grow 137% (vs. 462% in 1Q24, and expectations of 76% in 3Q24). Reported earnings have beaten estimates for the past 5 quarters. 90.2% of the S&P 500's market cap has reported. 2Q expectations are for revenues to grow 5.1% and EPS by 11.3%. Growth among groups varies significantly, as shown in the table below (a blend of conse ...