Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention an investment rating for the industry [1][2][3] Core Viewpoints - The European automotive industry is making steady progress in developing automated vehicles, with significant investments yielding results [3] - Automation in mobility is expected to bring tangible benefits to European society, including lower transport costs, reduced environmental impact, improved working conditions, and better-served transport needs [3] - Supporting R&D in automation will enable European firms to remain competitive in the future of transport and encourage high-quality connectivity [3] - The roadmap aims to help European policymakers and stakeholders navigate the transition to automated mobility [3] Levels of Automated Driving - Assisted driving includes basic systems that recommend actions to drivers or provide additional sensory perception (e g blind spot detection) [3] - Advanced active safety systems intervene automatically, faster, and more reliably than humans (e g automated emergency braking systems) [3] - Automated driving technology can perform all dynamic driving tasks in specific scenarios (e g autopilot function for motorways) [3] - Autonomous driving aims to enable the vehicle to handle the full driving experience without human input [3] Uses of Automated Driving Technology - Highly automated heavy trucks can carry freight over medium and long distances, optimizing routing and scheduling for efficiency [5] - Commercial vehicles in confined areas (e g harbours, airports) allow for earlier adoption of self-driving technology due to controlled environments [5] - Automated last-mile delivery can alleviate strain on road networks and businesses caused by increased online shopping demand [5] - Automated passenger services can provide crucial mobility services, especially for people with disabilities and the elderly [5] - Automated valet parking systems save time, enhance safety, reduce energy consumption, and optimize parking space usage [6] - Private vehicles on highways are evolving from assisted driving to full automation, with each development stage lasting around a decade [6] - Hub-to-hub freight transport can operate on request around the clock, reducing wasteful trips and improving traffic flow [7] Benefits of Automated Mobility - Innovation capabilities: Cutting-edge research and engineering create and retain know-how in Europe, attracting a highly skilled workforce [10] - Competitiveness: Automated mobility allows Europe to leverage public-private cooperation and balance intelligent infrastructure with intelligent vehicles [11] - Workforce and skills: Automation can address the shortage of commercial vehicle drivers and improve working conditions [12] - Sustainability: Optimal vehicle usage leads to less congestion, lower speeds, and more efficient transport operations [13] - Road safety and comfort: Automated systems reduce human error, react faster, and remain vigilant, enhancing safety and comfort [14] - Accessibility and inclusion: Automation provides new mobility solutions for those with reduced mobility, improving access to healthcare and work [15] Recommendations for Deploying Automated Vehicles - Foster R&D in automated driving technologies and standards [17] - Simplify national and cross-border pre-deployment testing of automated systems on open roads across the EU [17] - Upgrade, adapt, and harmonise digital infrastructure for automated driving [18] - Establish European minimum standards for high-quality physical road infrastructure [18] - Update and harmonise road traffic rules to allow for high-level automation [18] - Cooperate with the industry on guidelines for remote vehicle supervision [18] - Grant access to public traffic data [18] - Update Europe's type-approval scheme to remove restrictions on automated vehicle registrations [19] - Expand the number of automated vehicle applications allowed in Europe [19] - Support the adoption and harmonisation of national operation, licensing, and traffic regulation [19] - Foster harmonisation of legislation on a global scale [19] - Create a European funding scheme for automated passenger and freight services [19] - Inform and establish a dialogue with the general public and future drivers and passengers of automated vehicles [20] - Adapt labour regulations for commercial vehicle drivers and operators [20] Roadmap - Commercial operation for each use case will start within the indicated time range (2022-2030) [21][22]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - China's fiscal sector is experiencing both near-term and long-term challenges, with slower public sector activity negatively impacting economic growth [2] - The government has maintained an expansionary fiscal stance, with a deficit around 7% of GDP, but local fiscal spending has contracted due to declining tax and land sales revenue [2][7] - A budget revision is deemed necessary, as fiscal spending may drop by an additional -2.5% YoY without policy changes, while an increase in the deficit could allow for a 3% YoY increase in spending [2][25] Summary by Sections Fiscal Challenges - The revenue-to-GDP ratio in China has declined by almost 10% over the past decade, now at approximately 22% of GDP, significantly lower than G7 (36%) and OECD (39%) averages [15] - The public sector's growth was only 3.4% in H1 2024, the second lowest among all sectors, indicating a slowdown in public sector activity [5] - Fiscal revenue dropped by -5% YoY in the first seven months of 2024, attributed mainly to an -18% YoY decline in land sales and a -5% YoY decline in major taxes like VAT and corporate income tax [10][13] Long-term Strategies - Broadening the tax base on high-end consumption is suggested as a practical approach to reverse the downward trend in fiscal revenue [3] - Local government financing has become increasingly reliant on borrowing or central government transfers, highlighting the need for reforms to boost local revenues [20] - The government's plan to increase revenue through consumption tax is seen as prudent, with current consumption tax revenue at 1.3% of GDP, below the OECD average of 2.9% [27]

August 30, 2024 08:41 PM GMT cover, CCB bucked the trend, showing improvement in overdue and SML loans. M Update | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...

J P M O R G A N Global Quantitative & Derivatives Strategy 27 August 2024 US Equity Financing and AIR TRF Monitor Aug 27, 2024 • Short-dated implied financing rates increased on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 w/w, leading to a flattening of the funding term structure. • Pricing on the S&P 500 AIR TRFs increased 1 bp on the Sep'24 contract, 4 bps on the Dec'24 contract, 3 bps on the Mar'25 contract, and were little changed across the rest of the curve w/w. • Volumes on S&P 500 AIR TRFs totaled ~$8 ...

M Update Asia Quantitative Strategy | Asia Pacific August 26, 2024 12:09 PM GMT Positions of Active Long-only Managers in Asia/EM Our August 2024 positioning guide shows Semis remained the most crowded industry group, although active weights were trimmed to +3.0% with Financials and Brazil were most bought. India has now overtaken China as the largest market in active portfolios. Active GEM funds saw US$2.2bn in redemptions Key Takeaways US$2.2bn outflow from active GEM funds but US$254m inflow into GEM pas ...

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Deutsche Bank Research 7T2se3r0Ot6kwoPa Asia Economics Asia Week Ahead Date 2 September 2024 What you need to know: 2 - 6 Sept | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------| | | Juliana Lee | | Week ahead | Chief Economist | | We expect BNM to remain on the sidelines as growth surprised to the upside, and | +65-6423-5203 | | inflation is likel ...

ab 28 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab China Economic Perspectives Home Destocking Debate and Property Forecast Downgrade Economics China Where are we now in the property downturn? China's property activities have not bottomed since the unprecedented sharp downturn in 2021. The decline in urban housing prices has accelerated since H2 2023 amid elevated inventory pressure, weighing on household home purchase intention, consumption confidence and local government finances. China has eased property ...

M Global Idea Thematics August 28, 2024 03:00 AM GMT What to Buy & Sell Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+ Edward Stanley Equity Strategist Edward.Stanley@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0840 Matias Ovrum Equity Strategist Matias.Ovrum@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-9902 The market is fidgeting to find the "next big theme" despite the current ones (1) having attractive fundamentals, (2) performing in line with prior multi-year themes, (3) seeing upgrades to consensus estimates and (4) remaining reasonably ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a neutral investment rating with the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator at 6.2, suggesting a balanced market sentiment [29]. Core Insights - The report highlights a structural shift back to a 5% inflation environment, driven by factors such as globalization reversal, low debt, and demographic changes, indicating the beginning of a commodity bull market [3][10]. - It notes that China is increasingly relying on exports as domestic consumption slows, with retail sales growing only 3% annually since 2020 compared to 13% in the previous decade [3][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring US hiring trends, as historical data shows that a decline in private sector job share below 40% often precedes a recession [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - Year-to-date performance shows gold at 22.4%, stocks at 15.4%, and cryptocurrencies at 14.3%, with cash and government bonds yielding minimal returns [2]. - The report notes significant inflows into cash ($24.5 billion) and bonds ($20.7 billion), while equities saw inflows of $13.7 billion [6][18]. Economic Indicators - The report suggests that if the ISM manufacturing index exceeds 49, it could lead to a rise in long-term bond yields, indicating better opportunities in Q4 [2][8]. - The ratio of new orders to inventories is highlighted as a leading indicator for ISM manufacturing PMI, with expectations of an ISM reading of 52 by October 2024 [8][14]. Sector Analysis - The report indicates that the financial sector experienced the largest inflow in six weeks, while utilities faced the largest outflow in ten weeks [7][18]. - It also notes that BofA private clients are reallocating their investments, with significant purchases in REITs and financials while trimming positions in T-bills [7][22]. Global Trade Dynamics - China’s GDP growth is reported at 5%, but domestic growth is sluggish, with consumer confidence at all-time lows [10]. - The report discusses the impact of trade restrictions on global imports, particularly in key industries like electric vehicles and steel, which could limit deflationary pressures [3][10]. Commodity Outlook - The report asserts that commodities are expected to outperform bonds in the coming years, with total returns for commodities significantly higher than those for long-term U.S. Treasuries over the past four years [10][26]. - It emphasizes that the current commodity bull market is just beginning, with annualized returns projected between 10-14% [10].