X @郭明錤 (Ming-Chi Kuo)

Strategic Collaboration & Technological Advancement - Elon Musk and Tesla have a significant opportunity to engage in wafer fabrication at a very low cost, enhancing chip design capabilities and future bargaining power with foundries [1] - Mastering core chip manufacturing technologies is a strategic advantage for Elon Musk's ventures in the long term, given the increasing demand for advanced chips [1] - Tesla's AI6 chip, expected to be in mass production in 2027, will utilize Samsung's 2nm (SF2) advanced process [1] - Samsung's new Texas fab will be dedicated to making Tesla's next-generation AI6 chip, highlighting its strategic importance [2] Manufacturing & Production Risks - Samsung's SF2 process currently has a yield of 40-45%, lower than TSMC's N2 (over 70%) and Intel's 18A (50-55%) [1] - It is difficult to predict whether Samsung can smoothly mass-produce AI6 with SF2 as scheduled, despite the use of GAA technology similar to SF3 [1] - The worst-case scenario for Tesla if AI6 production is not as expected is to transfer orders back to TSMC and bear the impact of AI6 delays [2] Competitive Advantages & Business Models - If AI6 can be mass-produced smoothly, chip design and manufacturing will be a core competitive advantage for Elon Musk's ventures, allowing for more flexible planning and lower costs [2] - Samsung has identified a new business model that allows customers to participate in manufacturing, even if it cannot fully catch up with TSMC in advanced processes [2] - TSMC will manufacture AI5, which has just finished design, initially in Taiwan and then Arizona [3]