Transitions in the Semiconductor Space

Onshoring and Economic Impact - Onshoring to America, especially high value-added tech manufacturing like chips, has a large fiscal and economic impact without overly stressing the labor force [2] - A major investment deal between a leading American company and a foreign technology company aims to onshore industry in the US [1] - The success of major investments by companies struggling in their respective fields remains to be seen in terms of long-term impact [3][4] Semiconductor Industry and Competition - TSMC has an overall technical lead in the semiconductor space, having built an extraordinary business that has taken out competitors like Intel and Samsung [4][5] - Increased competition is coming for both TSMC and Nvidia [5] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing tremendous growth [5] Market and Investment Trends - The US prime book is heavily weighted and overexposed to the semiconductor space and semiconductor equipment [6] - Hedge funds have dialed back exposure to the semiconductor space ahead of earnings [6] - Extraordinary retail participation, a dramatic increase in margin utilization, and a dramatic decline in short interest have been observed [7] - Market conditions are extraordinarily difficult for hedge funds, requiring near-perfect earnings to live up to the hype [9] - Hedge funds have been underexposed to software services [9] - Hedge funds are expected to rotate towards sectors that are performing well, such as cyclicals versus defensives [10]